Tuesday, 6 August 2024

Bangladesh’s president dissolves parliament after PM leaves nation

 Bangladesh’s president dissolves parliament after PM leaves nation

An aerial view shows protesters storming Bangladesh's Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina's palace in Dhaka on August 5, 2024. Bangladesh's military was in control of the country on August 6,
after Hasina resigned and left the country. Photo: VCG
Bangladesh's President Mohammed Shahabuddin on Tuesday dissolved the parliament, a key demand of the protestors, following Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina's resignation. 

"China is closely following the developments in Bangladesh. As a friendly neighbor and comprehensive strategic cooperative partner of Bangladesh, China sincerely hopes that social stability will be restored soon in the country," according to remarks by Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson on Tuesday.

Global observers are closely monitoring the development of the unrest in the South Asian country with a focus on whether the disturbance can be ended by an interim government and elections, and how the incident will influence regional situation.

The coordinators of Bangladesh's student protest movement were scheduled to meet with the army chief, General Waker-Uz-Zaman on Tuesday after the military announced plans to form an interim government, the Guardian reported.  

Hasina, 76, resigned and left the country on Monday. She landed at a military airfield Hindon near Delhi, Reuters cited two Indian government officials as saying. India's National Security Adviser Ajit Doval met Hasina there. 

Students in Bangladesh started demonstration in early July against a quota system which reserves some government jobs for families of veterans of the country's 1971 war of independence. The Supreme Court rescinded the job quota policy on July 21. But the protests continued as students and other citizens assembled and called for justice for those killed in the protests and demanded Hasina to step down, BBC reported.  

In Dhaka on Monday, police and other government buildings were attacked and set on fire. Protesters attempted to tear down a statue of independence leader Sheikh Mujibur Rahman, Hasina's father, BBC said. 

Last month, at least 150 people were killed and thousands injured in violence during the protest.

The protests began with strong economic reasons rather than solely political motives, Liu Zongyi, director of the Center for South Asia Studies at the Shanghai Institutes for International Studies, told the Global Times on Tuesday. 

Bangladesh is one of the world's most densely populated countries - around 170 million in an area of more than 148,000 square kilometers - and has a significant number of young people in need of employment, Liu said. 

"Inflation and economic problems may have intensified the unrest. But after the job quota policy was rescinded, the situation did not settle down but evolved into a political movement," said Liu. 

Given the US and some Western countries' long-term criticism of Hasina's tough stance toward the US, there are speculations about potential Western involvement in the Bangladesh movement, experts said. 


Qian Feng, director of the research department at the National Strategy Institute at Tsinghua University, said the unrest in Bangladesh also underscored the challenges many developing countries face. 

After Hasina's resignation on Monday, the military chief, Zaman, announced in a televised address to the nation that he was temporarily taking control of the country, with soldiers attempting to stem the growing unrest. Zaman had also held talks with leaders of major political parties, excluding Hasina's long-ruling Awami League, to discuss the way forward, the Guardian reported. 

With Hasina reportedly going to India, it is possible that the opposition Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) may come to power to form a new government. However, the road ahead is challenging, given the domestic issues related to employment and economic development, Lin Minwang, deputy director at the Center for South Asian Studies at Fudan University, told the Global Times on Tuesday. 

President Shahabuddin on Monday ordered the release of Begum Khaleda Zia, BNP's chairperson, who was convicted in a graft case in 2018 but was moved to a hospital a year later as her health deteriorated. Zia has denied the charges against her, according to media reports. 

Analysts said the stability of Bangladesh hinges on upcoming political negotiations. If the military and the opposition reach a consensus, social order may be quickly restored; otherwise, the situation could remain turbulent.

Global reaction 

The month-long protests in Bangladesh have caught world attention. On Monday, the White House and the US State Department separately urged parties in Bangladesh to refrain from violence and restore peace at the earliest. The EU also called for an "orderly and peaceful" transition, according to media reports. 

On Tuesday, Indian External Affairs Minister Subrahmanyam Jaishankar told an all-party meeting that India has assured help to Hasina and given her time to decide the future course of action, newswire PTI reported quoting sources. 

Hasina's resignation could affect India's diplomacy with Bangladesh due to New Delhi's close ties with Hasina and her family, experts said. However, some analysts believe India may exercise restraint to avoid escalating anti-India sentiments in Bangladesh and it may not immediately offer asylum to Hasina. 

Indian broadcaster Times Now cited sources as saying that Hasina would leave for London.

No matter how the situation in Bangladesh further develops, the country has the demand to tackle its social and economic problems. Therefore, maintaining good relations with China, a country having the capacity without intention to interfere its internal affairs, is crucial for Bangladesh, Liu said.⍐

உலக மறுபங்கீட்டுஆட்சிக்கவிழ்ப்பு: இலங்கையில் இந்தியா, பங்களாதேசில் சீனா

Bangladesh's Shift Towards China and Pakistan: New Challenges for India

NEW DELHI: The eventual formation of a pro-Pakistan and pro-China government comprising the anti-India Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) and Jamaat-e-Islami in Dhaka appears to be a foregone conclusion and will be the latest in a series of challenges to confront New Delhi in the neighbourhood. This comes as China pushes its influence even further in the South Asian region. The fall of the pro-India Sheikh Hasina and her Awami League government in Dhaka comes as the latest shock for India, just months after the pro-India government in the southwestern maritime neighbour Maldives was defeated in the presidential polls in the archipelago nation late last year.

In an attempt to keep pace with the enormously superior Chinese financial muscle, New Delhi, especially in the past decade of the Modi government's tenures, has been focussing on boosting development assistance to its neighbours like Bangladesh, the Maldives, Sri Lanka, Nepal and Bhutan. In the past two decades, India has also invested heavily in infrastructure projects in Afghanistan. The fulcrum of Beijing's policy in the neighbourhood has been its ambitious Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) global connectivity project, of which the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) has been the flagship project. But Beijing's all-weather friendship with Islamabad for the past several decades has been of a strategic nature seen as largely aimed against India and is therefore different from its ties with other South Asian nations, where it has gained enormous leverage in the past few decades.

With the fall of the monarchy in Nepal nearly two decades ago, the Nepalese polity came to be dominated by three major political parties, of which two are Communist and enjoy close and fraternal ties with the ruling Chinese Communist Party in Beijing. Seizing the opportunity, China entrenched itself in India's Himalayan neighbour as one of the largest sources of foreign direct investment (FDI). China dramatically increased its influence in India's southern maritime neighbour Sri Lanka about 15 to 16 years ago, in the final stages of the insurgency there when the Sri Lankan Army was engaged in a door-or-die battle against the rebel LTTE.


According to reports then, Beijing gave crucial military assistance to the Sri Lankan government during the then presidency of Mahinda Rajapaksa to enable the Sri Lankan Army to decimate the LTTE in 2009. Beholden to Beijing, the Rajapaksa brothers contributed hugely to the expansion of Chinese influence in the island nation in the form of huge infrastructure projects that led to accumulating debt for Sri Lanka, while Beijing secured a 99-year lease for the Hambantota port there that sent alarm bells ringing in New Delhi. Sri Lanka eventually went bankrupt by 2022 during the presidency of Gotabaya Rajapaksa and the Prime Ministership of Mahinda Rajapaksa and it was left to New Delhi to bail Colombo out with a $4 billion assistance package. However, Beijing remains one of the largest creditors to a debt-ridden Sri Lanka and securing Chinese cooperation remains a vital part of Sri Lanka's attempts at debt restructuring.

China's influence in the tiny archipelago nation of Maldives also rapidly expanded during the presidency of Abdulla Yameen in the previous decade, when it funded ambitious infrastructure projects that again resulted in piling debt for the Maldives. But with Yameen's defeat at the hands of the pro-India Ibrahim Mohamed Solih, who became President in 2018, Chinese ambitions there suffered a setback. But a resilient China made a stunning comeback last year when was defeated by the pro-China Mohamed Muizzu, who became President and immediately proceeded to visit Beijing to declare his support and ask for financial assistance for his tiny nation. India's trusted friend Bhutan and its strategic position came under the spotlight during the military face-off between India and Chinese troops in Doklam in Bhutanese territory in 2017. China then began a concerted push to improve ties with Bhutan and settle its boundary dispute with that nation. In 2021, Bhutan signed a memorandum of understanding with China on a “three-step roadmap for expediting the Bhutan-China boundary negotiations”. In the past few years, India has further stepped up its development assistance to Bhutan to keep Chinese overtures at bay.

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