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Tuesday, March 11, 2025

US interest puts Greenland in focus

 Graphics

US interest puts Greenland in focus

By Prasanta Kumar DuttaSam HartJon McClure and Mariano Zafra

Published 


Greenland is due to vote on March 11 in an election where independence has become the main topic, following recent statements by U.S. President Donald Trump that Denmark should cede control of the Arctic island to the U.S. due to its strategic importance for American security.


September  | 

A map of Arctic sea ice extent in September 2024, which is significantly smaller than in September 2015.

The retreat of sea ice in the Arctic — which scientists warn will have severe consequences for Earth’s climate and could disrupt ocean currents — has made transport routes through the Arctic simpler and opened up new possibilities for oil and gas extraction.

According to data from Arctic Ship Traffic Data, the number of ships operating in the Arctic has increased 37% between 2013 and 2023.

Increase in ships in the Arctic

A chart showing the number of unique ships entering the Arctic Polar Code area has increased 37% between 2013 and 2023.

A map of exclusive economic zones in the Arctic circle.

Strategic importance for American security

Greenland's strategic location along the shortest route from Europe to North America is vital for the U.S. ballistic missile warning system.

A 1951 agreement between the United States and Denmark established a U.S. right to construct military bases in Greenland under the NATO framework as long as Denmark and Greenland are notified.

Historically, Denmark has accommodated the U.S. because Copenhagen does not have the capability to defend Greenland, and because of U.S. security guarantees to Denmark through NATO, according to Kristian Soeby Kristensen, senior researcher at Copenhagen University's Centre for Military Studies.

The U.S. military maintains a permanent presence at the Pituffik Space Base in Greenland’s northwest, under command of the U.S. Space Force. The base hosts early warning radar systems that are part of the Space Delta 4 missile defence mission and is strategically situated ahead of NORAD’s North Warning System, a line of radar installations designed to detect missile launches against North America crossing the Arctic.

Following the Trump administration’s comments, Danish lawmakers agreed to allocate around $2 billion to enhance Denmark’s own military presence in Greenland, admitting it has long neglected Greenland's defence.

A map of the NORAD North Warning System along Canada’s northern coast and Pituffik Space Base in northwestern Greenland.

Untapped resources

A 2023 survey showed that 25 of 34 minerals deemed “critical raw materials” by the European Commission were found in Greenland.

Greenland’s vast untapped resources include rare earths, graphite, copper, nickel, zinc, uranium, titanium, gold and diamonds, and 60% of the island’s non-ice territory has not yet been surveyed. The extraction of oil and natural gas is banned in Greenland for environmental reasons, and development of its mining sector has been snarled in red tape and opposition from Indigenous people.

The scale of Greenland

Greenland is more than three times the size of Texas, the largest state in the contiguous United States …

… and has a population less than a tenth that of Detroit, Michigan.

Detroit, Michigan
Population 633,000
Greenland
Pop. 56,000

Most of the population lives on just the 20% of the island that is not permanently covered in snow and ice, all along the coast.

Greenland was a Danish colony until 1953, when it officially became part of Denmark. It gained more autonomy in 1979 with the establishment of its parliament, and received broader autonomy in 2009.

The Trump administration’s interest has shaken the status quo and, combined with growing Inuit pride, has led some locals to view the March 11 vote as a historic chance to free Greenland from Danish influence.

Relations between Greenland and Denmark have been strained after revelations of historical mistreatment of Greenlanders under colonial rule. However, Trump's interest in making the island part of the United States has prompted Denmark to accelerate work to improve its ties with Greenland.

Opinion polls show that a majority of Greenland's inhabitants support independence, but they are divided over the timing and potential impact on living standards.

A poll in January indicated that 85% of Greenlanders do not wish to become a part of the United States, with nearly half saying they see interest by Trump as a threat.

Snow covers houses in Old Nuuk, located in front of Sermitsiaq Island in Greenland,
February 5, 2025.

Sources

NASA (shaded relief, bathymetry and land cover data), Natural Earth (Tom Patterson), U.S. National Ice Center (Ice and snow data), Artic Council, Marine Regions (exclusive economic zones)

Edited by

Jon McClure, Sandra Maler

Saturday, March 08, 2025

COVID-19 (2020 ), its economic impact continues

COVID-19 shut us down five years ago. Here's how its economic impact continues

March 8 (Reuters) - Five years after the World Health Organization first described the COVID-19 coronavirus outbreak as a pandemic, its effects are still being felt on the global economy.

COVID-19 and efforts to contain it triggered record government debt, hit labour markets and shifted consumer behaviour. Inequality has increased, while remote work, digital payments and changes in travel patterns have endured.
Though the immediate shock has passed, COVID-19's legacy continues to reshape global economies and markets.
Here are some of the main impacts.

DEBT, INFLATION AND INTEREST RATES

After countries borrowed money to protect welfare and livelihoods, global government debt has risen by 12 percentage points since 2020, with steeper increases seen in emerging markets.
The pandemic sparked high levels of inflation, which proved to be a major concern in the 2024 U.S. elections. Fuelled by post-lockdown spending, government stimulus packages and shortages of labour and raw materials, inflation peaked in many countries in 2022.
To offset rising prices, central banks raised interest rates, though the intensity of their interventions varied widely.
Sovereign credit ratings, which reflect a country's ability to pay back its debts, were driven lower as economies were shuttered and governments took on huge amounts of extra debt to fill the holes left in public finances.
Data from Fitch Ratings shows the average global sovereign credit score remains a quarter of a notch lower than it was when the pandemic started, reflecting financial challenges made worse by the pandemic, inflation and stricter financial conditions.
For less wealthy emerging market countries, the average remains roughly half a notch lower.
Lower credit ratings generally translate into higher borrowing costs on international capital markets.

LABOUR AND TRAVEL SHIFTS

The pandemic caused millions of job losses, with poorer households and women hit hardest, according to the World Bank.
As lockdowns eased, employment regained momentum but with a considerable shift towards sectors such as hospitality and logistics due to the growing retail delivery sector.
Women's participation in the workforce fell in 2020, mostly due to female over-representation in hard-hit sectors like accommodation, food services and manufacturing, and the burden of caring for children staying home from school. However, the gender employment gap has slightly decreased since, data shows.
Travel and leisure habits also changed. While people travel and eat out as much as they did in 2019, an increase of work-from-home has reduced commuting in major cities such as London.
In London, use of both tubes and buses remains at around a million fewer journeys a day than pre-pandemic.
The airline sector was one of those hit worst by the pandemic, recording industry-wide losses of $175 billion in 2020, according to the global airlines body IATA.
Vaccination campaigns eventually resulted in the lifting of travel restrictions, allowing people back on planes. For 2025, IATA expects an industry-wide net profit of $36.6 billion and a record 5.2 billion passengers.
But travellers must contend with prices of hotel rooms which in many regions have outpaced inflation and remain well above 2019 levels.
In the first half of 2023, Oceania, the continent in the southern hemisphere that includes Australia and smaller nations like Tonga and Fiji, saw the highest price increases from the same period of 2019, followed by North America, Latin America and Europe, according to data from Lighthouse Platform.
Despite minor fluctuations, there is little indication that global hotel prices will return to pre-pandemic norms.
Office vacancy rates are also at record highs in many countries, the result of more remote and flexible work. In the U.S., central business districts had the largest rise in vacancies, which are still evident today.

USHERING IN A DIGITAL WORLD

New consumer trends developed during global lockdowns, as home-bound consumers often had no other option than to shop online. This caused an uptick in online purchases from 2020 that has since stabilised.
Analysts say that in Europe the rise in online sales has been coupled with an increase in selling space, as retailers invest in physical shops to stimulate both online and offline sales.
The space, measured in square metres, edged up almost 1% from 2022 to 2023, an increase that should extend to 2.7% by 2028, data from market research company Euromonitor shows.
Shares in digital and delivery firms led gains during the pandemic, alongside those of vaccine-making pharmaceutical companies.
Five years on, some pandemic-era gainers have lost most of their appeal, but others have enjoyed lasting gains as new markets enabled by the digital shift have opened up.
Despite the bursting of some bubbles and the collapse of crypto exchange FTX, which left the industry reeling, the value of Bitcoin has increased by 1,233% since December 2019, as people looked at new investment opportunities to cut the risk of market volatility.
Stuck at home and with more cash on hand, people also began investing more, with roughly 27% of total U.S. equity trading coming from retail investors in December 2020. Stockbroker TD Ameritrade took the biggest slice of the cake before being acquired by Charles Schwab in a $26 billion deal.
Another platform which gained popularity during the retail trading boom of 2021 is Robinhood, which became the platform of choice for people to pump money into meme stocks.
🔺

Ranil’s Head to Head with Al Jazeera makes quite a stir


Ranil’s Head to Head with Al Jazeera makes quite a stir

By Gagani Weerakoon -March 8, 2025 Ceylon Today

In a recent interview with Mehdi Hasan on Al Jazeera’s Head to Head, former Sri Lankan President and six-time Prime Minister Ranil Wickremesinghe faced pointed questions regarding his administration’s actions during a tumultuous period in Sri Lankan history. Among the many issues raised, the most prominent centred around his role in the aftermath of the 2019 Easter Sunday bombings, his involvement in handling allegations of war crimes from the civil war, and his relationship with ousted President Gotabaya Rajapaksa.

Wickremesinghe staunchly denied any attempts to shield Gotabaya Rajapaksa, asserting that in Sri Lanka, it is the Attorney General who decides on prosecutions, not political leaders like him. He was clear in defending his decision to allow Rajapaksa to return to Sri Lanka in 2022, stating that there was no legal charge against him at the time and questioning the logic of treating him as a criminal without evidence. The intensity of Wickremesinghe’s remarks, however, contrasted with the renewed accusations from Malcolm Cardinal Ranjith of the Catholic Church, who claimed that his Government had failed to adequately investigate the 2019 bombings, allowing some to shield the true perpetrators. To this, Wickremesinghe dismissed the accusations as “nonsense,” attributing them to the Catholic Church’s political manoeuvring.

The conversation also turned to the Sri Lankan civil war, where Wickremesinghe was pressed on the issue of justice for the thousands of victims, particularly in relation to the Tamil Tigers (LTTE). While admitting that justice had not been served to any of the communities affected by the war, he denied large-scale bombing of hospitals by Sri Lankan forces, though he acknowledged some instances where hospitals were struck. His position on the reappointment of General Shavendra Silva, who the US State Department accuses of war crimes, was also defended by Wickremesinghe, who claimed it was standard practice not to replace military commanders during elections, and he was convinced Silva had not been involved in war crimes.

One of the most striking aspects of the interview was his dismissal of allegations of torture and killings under his watch in the late 1980s, particularly in relation to Batalanda, a housing complex he lived in at the time. Despite a government inquiry naming him as being aware of violations there, Wickremesinghe rejected these allegations outright and questioned the legitimacy of the report, given it had never been tabled in Parliament.

In a broader reflection on his time as President, Wickremesinghe was candid about the challenges he faced in steering the country through its economic crisis. While acknowledging that the IMF deal he brokered stabilised the economy, he remained defiant in defending his record. He suggested that the European Union’s initial stance against him, which involved calls for his resignation over his handling of protests, was hypocritical. In his eyes, the EU first sought his removal but later praised him for rescuing Sri Lanka from economic collapse. He also expressed a critical view of human rights watchdog Amnesty International, calling them “discredited” in Sri Lanka and questioning their impartiality.

In a reflective moment after the interview aired, Wickremesinghe expressed dissatisfaction with how the programme had been edited, claiming that crucial parts of his responses were omitted, and suggesting that the panellists brought in had biases he was unaware of. He highlighted that two of the panellists had alleged links to the LTTE, making the interview feel, in his words, more of an interrogation than a fair discussion. His frustration pointed to a wider concern about how media portrayals can shape the public’s perception of complex political issues.

Wickremesinghe expressed his dissatisfaction with the interview aired by Al Jazeera, questioning the integrity of the panellists who participated.

Speaking to the media shortly after the interview’s release, Wickremesinghe claimed that two of the three panellists who joined broadcaster Mehdi Hasan had pro-LTTE affiliations.

“I was informed that Human Rights Lawyer and former Commissioner of the Human Rights Commission of Sri Lanka, Ambika Satkunanathan, would be part of the interview. I welcomed this, as I have known her despite our ideological differences. However, I later discovered that she had been replaced by two other panellists, whom I was told had pro-LTTE links,” he said.

“This interview was different. When I engage with local media, the interviews are live, with everything—both good and bad—being aired. However, Al Jazeera interviewed me for two hours but released only a one-hour segment. The most important parts were left out,” Wickremesinghe remarked.

“They questioned me about events that occurred under the Rajapaksa administration. I made it clear that I was not in power at the time. I also stated that the Mahanayake of the Malwathu Chapter is Sri Lanka’s foremost religious leader, while others, including Malcolm Cardinal Ranjith, are just religious leaders,” he added.

Ultimately, the interview showcased the complex and often contradictory legacy of Ranil Wickremesinghe’s political career. It is evident that he believes his actions were in the best interests of the country during a crisis, but his responses reveal a man deeply entrenched in defending his record, even in the face of serious allegations. The refusal to accept any wrongdoing or failings on his part could be interpreted as indicative of a leader unwilling to acknowledge the full extent of the controversies that marred his leadership.

SL faces UNHRC

A joint report evaluating Sri Lanka’s recent political and human rights developments has been submitted to the United Nations Human Rights Council (UNHRC) by the Sri Lanka Core Group, led by the United Kingdom. The report, presented during the 58th session of the UNHRC, was co-authored by several countries, including Canada, Malawi, Montenegro, and North Macedonia.

The report acknowledges the peaceful elections and the smooth transition of power that took place in Sri Lanka last year. It offers a measured review of the actions taken by the incumbent Government, emphasising the potential of the new administration to address the challenges it faces. As the report states, “We recognise that the new Sri Lankan Government has only been in place for four months, and we encourage Sri Lanka to use the opportunity that this transition represents to address the challenges it faces.”

Moreover, the Core Group commended the Government’s commitment to making meaningful progress on reconciliation. This includes initial steps such as returning land, lifting roadblocks, and allowing communities in the North and East to commemorate the past and memorialise their loved ones. These measures were recognised as positive steps towards fostering a sense of healing and inclusivity in the country’s post-conflict landscape.

The report also welcomed the Government’s stated intention to implement devolution in accordance with the Constitution and to advance governance reforms. This commitment to decentralising power and ensuring greater autonomy for local communities is seen as a vital component of the reconciliation process.

Additionally, the Core Group took note of the Government’s intention to replace the Prevention of Terrorism Act (PTA) and stressed that any new legislation should align with Sri Lanka’s international obligations. The report urged the Government to consider the release of individuals still detained under the PTA, reflecting ongoing concerns about the Act’s impact on human rights and civil liberties. The recommendation to repeal or amend the PTA has long been a point of contention, as it has been widely criticised for its potential misuse and for undermining basic freedoms.

Further, the report highlighted the importance of the Government’s continued efforts to address human rights and corruption cases. The Core Group urged that any comprehensive reconciliation and accountability process should have the support of affected communities, build on past recommendations, and meet international standards. Such a process, they emphasised, must be inclusive, transparent, and meaningful to restore trust and ensure lasting peace.

The report also called on the Sri Lankan Government to re-invigorate the work of domestic institutions focused on reparations and addressing the issue of missing persons. This reflects a deep concern for those who have suffered as a result of the civil conflict, particularly in the context of ensuring that victims and their families receive appropriate recognition, compensation, and justice.

In conclusion, the Sri Lanka Core Group reaffirmed its willingness to work with the Sri Lankan Government to ensure that any future transitional justice mechanisms are independent, inclusive, and meet the expectations of affected communities. The Core Group’s approach suggests that international cooperation and support will be critical in ensuring that Sri Lanka’s journey towards reconciliation and accountability is not only meaningful but also sustainable in the long term.

IGP vs NPC

The ongoing dispute between the National Police Commission (NPC) and Acting Inspector General of Police (IGP) Priyantha Weerasooriya has brought to the forefront significant questions about the distribution of powers within Sri Lanka’s Police administration. At the heart of this disagreement is the question of who holds the authority to appoint Officers-in-Charge (OICs) of Police stations – the NPC or the IGP.

The situation escalated when Acting IGP Weerasooriya, citing an interpretation from the Attorney General’s Department, asserted that he had the authority to handle the appointment of OICs. This assertion was immediately contested by the NPC, which maintains that, according to the law, it is the Commission, not the IGP, that holds the power to make such appointments. The NPC has consistently argued that the procedures for appointments, transfers, and disciplinary actions within the Police Force are clearly defined, and that the Commission is entrusted with overseeing the careers of specific officers, such as the OICs.

The NPC’s demand for a meeting with the Attorney General is not to seek clarification on the law itself, but rather to address the IGP’s interpretation of it, which, according to the NPC, was made without prior consultation with the Commission. As a body that functions independently from political influence, the NPC views this issue as part of a broader effort to ensure the depoliticisation and impartiality of the Sri Lanka Police Department.

The dispute became particularly pronounced when Acting IGP Weerasooriya requested that the responsibility for appointing OICs be delegated to him, based on the legal opinion he had sought from the Attorney General. This request was promptly rejected by the NPC, which formally communicated its decision to the Constitutional Council, further intensifying the disagreement. The NPC maintains that its role in the appointment process is a constitutional right, specifically granted under the 21st Amendment to the Constitution, which empowers it to oversee matters related to the Police Force, excluding the IGP’s position.

The core of the dispute also lies in the broader tension between the NPC’s oversight role and the IGP’s operational control. The NPC has made it clear that while it holds authority over appointments, promotions, transfers, and disciplinary actions for a select group of officers, such as OICs and HQIs (Headquarters Inspectors), the IGP is responsible for the same functions concerning all other officers within the force. The NPC has further stated that it does not seek to interfere with the operational decisions of the IGP or his direct control over the Police but instead operates within the framework of constitutional and legal guidelines.

Moreover, the NPC clarified that it had approved a significant number of the Acting IGP’s requested transfers between September 2024 and January 2025, but several of the requested moves were not authorised due to insufficient supporting information. The Commission noted that while many transfers had been granted, others were held up due to procedural lapses, underlining the importance of compliance with established rules and regulations. Despite approving many of the transfers, the NPC also raised concerns about the delay in implementing the decisions, prompting them to seek clarification from the Acting IGP regarding the holdup.

The issue of the appointment of OICs also touches on a critical point of constitutional governance and the principle of accountability. The NPC’s involvement in the appointment process is seen as essential to maintaining an impartial and professional Police Service, free from political interference. The Commission has pointed out that the failure to implement decisions and the lack of communication between the IGP and NPC create an environment of uncertainty and inefficiency, which could ultimately undermine the functioning of the Police Department.

Further, despite the Acting IGP’s claim of seeking the Attorney General’s advice on the matter, the NPC has highlighted that no official notification was made to them about this consultation. This, according to the NPC, demonstrates a lack of communication and collaboration between the IGP and the Commission, which is a fundamental concern for maintaining the integrity of the Police Service.

This dispute also underlines the complexity of the relationship between the NPC and the IGP, a relationship that is essential for the proper functioning of the Police Department. The NPC’s role as an independent oversight body tasked with ensuring transparency and accountability in the Police Force cannot be overstated. Yet, the IGP’s argument that he should have the authority to transfer officers without the NPC’s oversight raises questions about the extent of the IGP’s powers and whether such authority could lead to potential abuses of power or political influence over Police operations.

In response to the Acting IGP’s claim that the NPC has interfered with the internal workings of the Police, the Commission has reiterated that it does not seek to obstruct or challenge the IGP’s authority in areas where it does not have jurisdiction. The NPC’s primary concern is to ensure that appointments and transfers are carried out in accordance with the law, without any undue political or administrative influence.

This conflict, though rooted in legal interpretations, also reflects broader concerns about governance, accountability, and transparency in Sri Lanka’s law enforcement. The NPC has maintained that its role is not one of interference, but rather one of ensuring that the Police Force operates within the confines of the law, and that appointments are made based on merit and need, rather than political connections or favouritism.

Looking ahead, the meeting between the NPC and the Attorney General will likely provide a platform to resolve this dispute, offering clarity on the legal framework governing the appointment and transfer of Police officers. However, it also serves as a reminder of the challenges faced by Sri Lanka’s institutions in maintaining the rule of law, ensuring fairness in public service, and upholding the independence of key oversight bodies such as the NPC.

As this situation continues to unfold, it is evident that the balance between administrative control and independent oversight within Sri Lanka’s Police Service will remain a topic of significant debate and scrutiny, especially in the context of maintaining a non-politicised, accountable, and effective law enforcement system.🔺

Ceylon Today (09-03-2025)

Friday, March 07, 2025

Who is to blame for Sri Lanka’s crises? | Head to Head AJ

Who is to blame for Sri Lanka’s crises? | Head to Head

Mehdi Hasan goes head to head with Ranil Wickremesinghe

When Sri Lankan President Gotabaya Rajapaksa fled the country in 2022 – amidst mass protests and an economic crisis–  parliament elected veteran politician and six-time Prime Minister Ranil Wickremesinghe. 

As President, Wickremesinghe negotiated the country’s biggest bail-out, but his critics say he is part of an establishment that turned a blind eye to war crimes and corruption and hindered the fundamental changes protesters demanded.

Mehdi Hasan goes head to head with Wickremesinghe on his violent response to protestors, his handling of the 2019 Easter bombings, and whether he did enough to hold the powerful Rajapaksa family accountable.  

Joining the discussion are: 

      • Frances Harrison – former BBC Sri Lanka correspondent, author of ‘Still Counting the Dead’ and Director, International Truth and Justice Project 
      • Nirj Deva  –  former UK and EU MP and presidential envoy to Wickremesinghe 
      • Madura Rasaratnam – Executive Director, PEARL and Senior Lecturer at, City University of London.
Info:Kumar

Thursday, March 06, 2025

Trump to revoke legal status for 240,000 Ukrainians as US steps up deportations

A Ukrainian boy seeking asylum in the U.S. plays with a Ukrainian flag after arriving at the PedWest border
crossing at the San Ysidro Port of Entry in San Diego, California, U.S., April 13, 2022. REUTERS/Toya Sarno Jordan

By Ted Hesson and Kristina Cooke March 6, 2025

Summary

Trump administration move is part of broader rollback of Biden-era migration programs

Some of those migrants could be subject to fast-track deportation

Ukrainian and Afghan migrants face uncertainty under new policies

WASHINGTON, March 6 (Reuters) - U.S. President Donald Trump's administration is planning to revoke temporary legal status for some 240,000 Ukrainians who fled the conflict with Russia, a senior Trump official and three sources familiar with the matter said, potentially putting them on a fast-track to deportation.

The move, expected as soon as April, would be a stunning reversal of the welcome Ukrainians received under President Joe Biden's administration.

The planned rollback of protections for Ukrainians was underway before Trump publicly feuded with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy last week. It is part of a broader Trump administration effort to strip legal status from more than 1.8 million migrants allowed to enter the U.S. under temporary humanitarian parole programs launched under the Biden administration, the sources said.

U.S. Department of Homeland Security spokesperson Tricia McLaughlin said the department had no announcements at this time. The White House and Ukrainian embassy did not respond to requests for comment.

A Trump executive order issued on January 20 called for DHS to "terminate all categorical parole programs."

The administration plans to revoke parole for about 530,000 Cubans, Haitians, Nicaraguans and Venezuelans as soon as this month, the Trump official and one of the sources familiar with the matter said, requesting anonymity to discuss internal deliberations. The plan to revoke parole for those nationalities was first reported, opens new tab by CBS News.

Migrants stripped of their parole status could face fast-track deportation proceedings, according to an internal ICE email seen by Reuters.

Immigrants who cross the border illegally can be put into the fast-track deportation process known as expedited removal, for two years after they enter. But for those who entered through legal ports of entry without being officially "admitted" to the U.S. - as with those on parole - there is no time limit on their rapid removal, the email said.

The Biden programs were part of a broader effort to create temporary legal pathways to deter illegal immigration and provide humanitarian relief.

In addition to the 240,000 Ukrainians fleeing the Russian invasion, and the 530,000 Cubans, Haitians, Nicaraguans and Venezuelans, these programs covered more than 70,000 Afghans escaping the Taliban takeover of Afghanistan.

An additional 1 million migrants scheduled a time to cross at a legal border crossing via an app known as CBP One.

Thousands more had access to smaller programs, including family reunification parole for certain people in Latin America and the Caribbean.

Trump as a candidate pledged to end the Biden programs, saying they went beyond the bounds of U.S. law.

The Trump administration last month paused processing immigration-related applications for people who entered the U.S. under certain Biden parole programs - placing Ukrainian Liana Avetisian, her husband and her 14-year-old daughter, in limbo. Avetisian, who worked in real estate in Ukraine, now assembles windows while her husband works construction.

The family fled Kyiv in May 2023, eventually buying a house in the small city of DeWitt, Iowa. Their parole and work permits expire in May. They say they spent about $4,000 in filing fees to renew their parole and to try to apply for another program known as Temporary Protected Status.

Avetisian has started getting headaches as she worries about their situation, she said.

“We don’t know what to do,” she said.

WANING WELCOME

U.S. allies from Afghanistan who entered under Biden have also been swept up in Trump's crackdown.

Rafi, a former Afghan intelligence officer who asked to be identified only by his first name to protect family members still in Afghanistan, entered the U.S. legally in January 2024 using the CBP One mobile app at the U.S.-Mexico border. He was given a temporary humanitarian parole status that allowed him to live and work in the United States for two years.

On February 13, just over a year into that status, he was detained at a check-in appointment at an ICE office in Chantilly, Virginia. His status was revoked.

In Afghanistan, Rafi was trained by American officers and provided intelligence on “High Value Targets”, according to an October 2022 recommendation letter.

“As a result of his active efforts against the enemy, he is currently in extreme danger, and in need of assistance in departing the country,” the former CIA officer who trained him wrote.

The officer described Rafi as “truly one of the most dedicated and hardworking individuals I had the honor to serve with in Afghanistan.” Reuters reviewed the letter but was not able to reach the officer.

In the United States, Rafi applied for asylum and was scheduled for a hearing before an immigration judge in April.

At his February ICE check in - one of the conditions for his temporary status - he was asked to remove his belt and shoelaces, he said. He knew immediately what was happening, he said, and still, he asked: “Are you arresting me? I have broken no law.”

Rafi said he felt betrayed.

“When someone stands shoulder to shoulder with American troops and puts his life in danger…” he said in a phone call from detention, his voice shaking.

“I wasn't expecting this behavior from them. I wasn't expecting it.”

On February 24, his lawyer wrote to ICE asking them to release her client, noting his lack of a criminal record, that he was not a flight risk and had an active asylum case related to his work supporting the U.S. military in Afghanistan.

James Mullan, the assistant field office director at ICE’s Washington field office responded that ICE was declining to release him.

“The priorities that you mentioned in your email ended on January 20, 2025,” Mullan wrote, referring to the date of Trump’s inauguration.🔺

Tuesday, March 04, 2025

The Economist: Gangsters Paradise


The Economist: End of the post-1945 order

China, Mexico and Canada to retaliate after Trump imposes new tariffs

Cartoon Selection-ENB

China, Mexico and Canada to retaliate after Trump imposes new tariffs

China and Canada will impose their own tariffs on billions of dollars worth of U.S. goods, and Mexico plans to announce new levies soon, as Trump’s tariffs take effect.

March 4, 2025, The Washington Post

As President Donald Trump’s new tariffs on the three top American trading partners took effect Tuesday, China, Mexico and Canada announced they would retaliate with levies of their own, unleashing a potentially devastating trade war.

China imposed tariffs of up to 15 percent on a raft of U.S. farm products and blacklisted more than 20 U.S. companies, marking a major escalation in a brewing battle between the world’s two largest economies. The move targets some of the United States’ most important exports to China, including soybeans, meat and grains.

Trump is increasing tariffs on Chinese products by 10 percentage points, bringing the total tax on some Chinese products to 45 percent. He is also imposing 25 percent tariffs on goods from Mexico and Canada, in the most serious threat yet to 31 years of free-trade treaties in North America. The levies went into effect at 12:01 a.m. Eastern time Tuesday, after Trump confirmed Monday that he would not extend a month-long delay on his plan.

On Monday evening, Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau decried Trump’s “unjustified decision” and said he would respond with tariffs on roughly $107 billion worth of U.S. products. About $21 billion in U.S. goods would be hit immediately. The remainder would take effect in 21 days, Trudeau said.

China announced a 15 percent tax on U.S. goods

🌎 “Because of the tariffs imposed by the U.S., Americans will pay more for groceries, gas, and cars, and potentially lose thousands of jobs,” the Canadian leader said.

Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum said Tuesday morning that her government was also prepared to impose retaliatory tariffs. She told reporters she will announce them Sunday in a rally in the Zocalo, the country’s main square, in Mexico City.

Sheinbaum blasted “an offensive, defamatory and baseless communiqué published by the White House about Mexico, which we firmly deny and categorically condemn.” The U.S. statement had said cartels “operate unhindered due to an intolerable relationship with the government of Mexico.”

Mexico’s economy is heavily dependent on trade with the United States, and the tariffs could provoke a recession. About 80 percent of Mexico’s exports go to its northern neighbor. But the country’s manufacturing sector has become increasingly integrated with factories in the United States — meaning that any tariffs on Mexican-made goods may boomerang for U.S. companies, particularly in the auto industry.

Sheinbaum said she and Trump had agreed to a telephone call, probably Thursday, to discuss the tariffs.

Trump said he did not expect Beijing to “retaliate too much,” but only hours later, China’s State Council, the equivalent of its cabinet, announced a 15 percent tax on U.S. goods including chicken, wheat and corn. Other American products — including soybeans, sorghum, beef, pork, seafood, dairy products and fruits and vegetables — will be subject to a 10 percent levy.

Fifteen U.S. companies, including Leidos and General Dynamics Land Systems, were placed on a list that bars them from importing goods that can be used for military purposes. Another 10 American companies were barred from trading with or investing in China.

Ministry of Foreign Affairs spokesman Lin Jian said Tuesday that if Washington “insists on starting a tariff war, a trade war or any kind of war China will fight to the last.”

China’s Ministry of Commerce earlier called Trump’s tariffs a violation of international trade rules and an example of American “unilateralism and bullying.”

The Chinese tariffs will go into effect on March 10 and could hit billions of dollars’ worth of U.S. goods.

China is the largest market for American farm products, accounting for 17 percent of total U.S. agricultural exports in 2023, according to data from the U.S. Department of Agriculture.

China last year imported almost $20 billion in soybeans, corn, cotton and the other U.S. farm products that will be subject to the new tariffs, according to USDA data. Those products accounted for about 80 percent of all U.S. agricultural exports to China.

The nascent trade war began shortly after Trump’s return to the White House and has ratcheted up quickly, involving China as well as U.S. partners.

In early February, Trump imposed 25 percent levies on Canadian and Mexican merchandise, saying they weren’t doing enough to stop the movement of fentanyl and migrants over the U.S. borders. (Canada is the source of a minuscule amount of those flows.) The president then delayed the tariffs by one month as the two countries scrambled to beef up border security. Nonetheless, Trump went ahead with the penalties on Tuesday.

At the same time, he slapped a 10 percent tax on Chinese imports, saying that China had also failed to stem the flow of fentanyl to the United States.

China responded with 15 percent tariffs on imports of U.S. coal and liquefied natural gas, as well as a 10 percent tariff on agricultural equipment and crude oil; restrictions on exports of minerals used to make high-tech products; an antitrust investigation of Google; and the blacklisting of two other U.S. companies.

President Donald Trump at a news conference in the White House on Monday. He said he didn't expected China to “retaliate too much” against his latest round of tariffs. (Annabelle Gordon/For The Washington Post)

At the time, analysts said Beijing’s response was relatively restrained as it only targeted certain products. It was a sign that Chinese leader Xi Jinping, facing a slowing economy and an increasingly disenchanted public, could be open to striking a trade deal with Trump, they said.

But the president’s latest announcement and Beijing’s response raise the likelihood that the two countries will become embroiled in a cycle of retaliatory tariffs, experts say.

“Trump is swinging his tariff stick harder and harder,” said Zhu Feng, director of the Institute of International Studies at Nanjing University.

“The trade war is a huge disruption and blow to the normal economic and trade relations between China and the United States, and it will certainly bring new and significant pressure to China’s economy and development,” he said.

While the leaders of Canada and Mexico have held talks with the U.S. president to try to reach agreements, Xi and Trump have had no such conversation. Top officials including Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Secretary of State Marco Rubio have had calls with their Chinese counterparts, but Trump suggested earlier this month that he was in no rush to speak to Xi.

During his first term, Trump placed tariffs on Chinese products to try to reduce China’s trade surplus with the United States, resulting in a two-year tit-for-tat trade war. In a deal that was struck in 2020, China pledged to buy an additional $200 billion in U.S. goods over two years but ultimately failed to fulfill its pledge.

The new U.S. measures will result in levies as high as 45 percent on some Chinese goods that were already targeted during Trump’s first term, including home appliances, electronics, clothing and machinery.

Chinese state media and commentators have been stressing that Beijing has been preparing for a second trade war by focusing on new export markets and launching stimulus measures at home.

China has sought to reduce its reliance on the United States by buying more farm products from other countries. But in China’s slowing economy, ordinary people will likely still suffer from the higher prices.

“China’s main concern now is to improve its situation at home — build moats and fortresses — and wait for the U.S. to make an offer before a tough battle comes,” said Zhao Minghao, deputy director of the Center for American Studies at Fudan University.🔺

Lynch reported from Washington, Coletta from Toronto and Sheridan from Mexico City. Pei-Lin Wu in Taipei, Taiwan, and Lyric Li in Seoul contributed to this report.

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  பயங்கரவாத எதிர்ப்பு சட்டத்தை இரத்துச் செய்வதை ஆராய விசேட குழு மே முற்பகுதியில் பொதுமக்கள், சிவில் அமைப்புகளிடம் கருத்து April 14, 2025 தின...