Why Sri Lanka’s disenchanted Tamils are divided this election

 The Hindu- September 18, 2024 at 11:17 AM. | Jaffna

Disappointment with southern leadership over long-pending demands, and a divided Tamil polity have led them to consider different options

By Meera Srinivasan

Sri Lanka’s northern Tamil voters are torn this presidential election, between a candidate who may win, and one who will certainly lose.

While some are backing one of the frontrunners among the Sinhalese candidates, others have decided to support a Tamil candidate. Every voter knows well that “Tamil common candidate” P Ariyanethiran — fielded jointly by some political and civil society groups based in the island nation’s north and east — cannot win given the numeric reality of Sri Lanka’s electoral map. The Sinhalese majority make up around 75 per cent of the country that was torn apart by bitter ethnic conflict between the two communities.

“After the civil war ended in 2009, our people hoped that even if their political rights were denied, they could live with some security and dignity. Listening to our (Tamil) political leadership, they backed different candidates in past elections. What did we gain?” asks Fr Santhiyogu Marcus, President of the Mannar Citizens’ Committee.

For at least two decades, Tamils had a straightforward choice and delivered a bloc vote — except when the rebel Tamil Tigers enforced a boycott in 2005 — in the presidential elections. They despised the Rajapaksa clan, accused of serious human rights violations during and after the civil war. They emphatically rejected Mahinda Rajapaksa in 2010 and 2015, and Gotabaya Rajapaksa in 2019. The main Tamil party representing Tamils of the north and east, too, invariably backed the chief challenger of the Rajapaksas in every national election.

Altered landscape

However, this is the first election campaign in 20 years that is not dominated by a Rajapaksa surname. Two years after a people’s uprising evicted Gotabaya Rajapaksa from office in 2022, Sri Lanka’s political terrain looks starkly different. The September 21 election, the first poll since, has three candidates at the fore – incumbent Ranil Wickremesinghe, opposition politicians Sajith Premadasa and Anura Kumara Dissanayake, one of whom is expected to win.

“Ariyanethiran is not seen as an individual who will win this contest, but as someone who is a symbol of our identity and struggles,” Fr Marcus observes. Many acknowledge his bleak electoral prospects but say they will back him nevertheless, to deliver a “strong message” to the southern political establishment and the international community.

On the other hand, critics of the move term it “political suicide”. Abandoning pragmatic negotiation with the southern leadership would further isolate Tamils and weaken their bargaining power, they contend.

Fifteen years after the civil war ended, after claiming several tens of thousands of civilian lives, Tamils in the north and east are unable to live in peace. Their lands are systematically grabbed by state agencies, their call for truth and justice over alleged war crimes remain, the whereabouts of scores of forcibly missing persons are unknown, a just political solution is elusive, and the war-battered economy has not created decent jobs or livelihoods.

In this context, sections see backing the Tamil candidate as a way of airing their frustration – not just with the national leadership, but also with their own, deeply divided Tamil political leadership. “Tamil leaders are showing us that they cannot be united in this struggle. The parties have split and there are so many splinter groups. They have weakened our position so much,” says K Rajachandran, leader of a Jaffna-based fisheries cooperative. “So, we want to tell our Tamil politicians, even if you can’t stand united, the Tamil people will come together behind this common candidate.”

Fragmented Tamil polity

The northern Tamil polity is in shreds, with prominent leaders taking poll positions ranging from backing a southern candidate, campaigning for the Tamil “common candidate”, to boycotting the polls altogether.

The once-powerful Tamil National Alliance (TNA), led by the prominent Ilankai Tamil Arasu Katchi (ITAK), has collapsed, with two other constituents breaking away some years ago. Even the ITAK is marred by serious internal divisions, seen in the conflicting positions aired by its members on a daily basis in the run up to the polls. The contradictions within were no secret earlier but have become more pronounced after the passing of senior Tamil leader R Sampanthan in June.

Earlier this month, the ITAK, through its Jaffna legislator MA Sumanthiran, announced its support for presidential aspirant Premadasa. Meanwhile, ITAK legislator Sivagnanam Shritharan is canvassing for Ariyanethiran, and senior leader Mavai Senathirajah continues to give mixed signals.

“Voters are finding it very confusing this election,” notes Rajany Rajeshwary, founder of Vallamai, a Jaffna-based movement for social change. “I fear that our votes will be split, and we will expose our weakness,” she says.

Meanwhile some voters, especially the youth, are disillusioned. “In the south, they tell us ‘think and vote as a Sri Lankan’. How can I do that when their discriminatory actions keep reminding me that I am Tamil?” asks Marynathan Edison, a fisherman and environmentalist in Mannar⍐.

Not missing the IMF’s ‘woods’

 Not missing the IMF’s ‘woods’

This week, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) publicly said that even though Sri Lanka has achieved considerable economic recovery, the country is not out of the woods yet. The IMF stressed that therefore, it is important to safeguard those hard-won gains.

The Morning 17 Sep 2024

The IMF’s statement comes in a context where the country is getting ready for a crucial Presidential Election. It is crucial not only because it seeks to elect the next Head of the State. It is crucial because this is the first Presidential Election that is going to be held following a plethora of socio-economic changes, mostly for the worse, that sparked a renewed discourse about a system change concerning the country’s politics and governance.

“With respect to the upcoming Presidential Election, this is for the people of Sri Lanka to decide. From the IMF's position, what we see is a programme that has made significant achievements, but that it is important to safeguard these achievements to enable the country to fully emerge from one of its worst crises,” the IMF said.

As the IMF has aptly pointed out, while the people hold the power to decide what the country’s political trajectory would be like during the coming few years, when we look at the bigger picture, there is an economic recovery programme that should not be conflated with politics. The IMF agreement has become a key topic of discussion on Election stages – while some want to abolish it, some propose to amend it. But, some, including President Ranil Wickremesinghe, express confidence that the continued implementation of the IMF programme would benefit the country. He is not wrong. The IMF programme is not only a set of proposals and recommendations. It is also an eye-opener that showed Sri Lanka a number of things that it did wrong, especially when it comes to State revenue, savings, and expenses.

The IMF programme should not be just another political topic that gets distorted, debated, and ignored or highlighted when advantageous. It goes beyond opportunistic politics and day-to-day needs. It is the political authority’s duty to allow it to remain practical and scientific, which it should be if Sri Lanka is to benefit from it. Sri Lanka’s agreement with the IMF may be controversial, especially when it comes to the impacts of the agreement’s implementation on the general public. However, we see the results. While it has added to the people’s day-to-day plight, it has also improved the economy at a higher level.

“With respect to the upcoming Presidential Election, this is for the people of Sri Lanka to decide. From the IMF's position, what we see is a programme that has made significant achievements, but that it is important to safeguard these achievements to enable the country to fully emerge from one of its worst crises,” the IMF said.

That is why we should recognize that the IMF programme is not entirely a monster. However, for it to deliver the intended results and for Sri Lanka to counter its adverse impacts, Sri Lanka should look at it in a scientific and realistic manner. Political labels should not be how we assess whether the IMF programme is beneficial or not.

Sri Lanka must have a sustainable reforms-based agenda built up on the IMF programme. In other words, the country should have a national plan concerning the IMF programme that is not dependent on any particular Government’s needs, agendas, or ideologies.  Sri Lanka's recent economic stabilisation, supported by the IMF, underscores the necessity of a steadfast economic reform agenda. For the country to maintain and build upon this stability, it is crucial that reforms transcend political changes. Consistent adherence to a well-defined economic strategy ensures that policies promoting fiscal discipline, investment attractiveness, and sustainable growth remain intact, regardless of shifting Governments. This commitment not only stabilises the economy but also secures a foundation for future prosperity, benefiting all Sri Lankans and reinforcing their trust in economic governance.

If there are issues or concerns concerning the IMF programme, they should be dealt with not through a political approach, but a scientific one. Instead of trying to amend or revoke the IMF programme out of spite, just to hurt political rivals, the political authority must counter the programme’s flaws, inadequacies, and harmful aspects. Politicians’ ill-advised plans for the IMF programme should not reverse the little progress that the country has achieved⍐.

Economy grows by 4.7% in 2Q, powered by industrial sector

Tuesday, 17 September 2024 FT

• Accounting for 25.5% of economy, industrial activities grew by 10.9%; dominant services sector
• grows by 2.5% and agriculture by 1.7%
• DCS cites low inflation and interest rates, lifting import restrictions as reasons for favourable
• impact on almost all manufacturing activities in 2Q

Sri Lanka’s economy grew by 4.7% year-on-year (YoY) in the second quarter of 2024, continuing the upward momentum seen since September 2023.

However quarter-on-quarter 2Q performance was lower than 5.3% growth achieved in 1Q.

The Department of Census and Statistics (DCS)  said 2Q positive growth was driven by the industry sector accounting for 25.5% of the GDP, growing by a high 10.9% from a low base, whilst the service sector with a share of 55.4% of the GDP expanded by 2.5% and the agriculture accounting for 10% of GDP expanded by 1.7% as against the second quarter of last year.

In addition, taxes less subsidies on products accounting for 9.1% of the GDP grew by 2.8% in the second quarter of 2024, announced.

“Sri Lanka experienced lower inflation, declining interest rates and eased import restrictions in the second quarter of 2024,” the DCS said, adding that these factors helped businesses access working capital and raw materials more easily, contributing to economic growth.

It also added that despite heavy rainfall affecting crops like paddy, tea and rubber in 2024, the rain boosted hydroelectric power generation, adding value to the electricity industry.

The DCS also highlighted that rising tourist arrivals in the second quarter helped sustain growth for the fourth consecutive quarter, starting from the third quarter of 2023.

Following is a brief commentary on the sectoral performance;

Agricultural activities

In the second quarter of year 2024, the agriculture activities have recorded an expansion of 1.7% when compared to the 4.2% of growth recorded in the same quarter in the year 2023.

The reported 1.7% growth in the agricultural activities were supported by the expansions in ‘Growing of cereals’ (22.7%), ‘Animal production’ (8.6%), ‘Marine fishing and marine aquaculture’ (7.7%), ‘Growing of fruits’ (3.9 %), ‘Growing of vegetables’ (3.8 %), ‘Fresh water fishing and fresh water aquaculture’ (3.6%), ‘Growing of spices’ (3.0 %), ‘Growing of oleaginous fruits’ (1.4%) and ‘Forestry and logging’ (0.7%).

However, some agricultural activities, namely, ‘Plant propagation’ (23.7%), ‘Growing of rubber’ (18.7%), ‘Growing of tea (8.8%), ‘Growing of other perennial crops’ (4.1%), ‘Growing of coffee, cocoa and other beverages crops (4.0%),‘Agriculture supporting activities’ (3.7%), ‘Growing of sugarcane’ (2.4%) and ‘Growing of rice’ (1.2%) reported contractions in the second quarter of 2024.

Industrial activities

All the Industrial activities together reported a 10.9% growth in the second quarter of 2024compared to the reported 11.7% decline in the second quarter of the previous year.

The ‘Construction industry’ and ‘Mining and quarrying’ industries returned with positive growths of 15.5% and 21.5% respectively in this quarter. Besides, the overall manufacturing  industry grew by 7.0% during the second quarter 2024 with the expansions of most of the manufacturing sub activities, namely, ‘Manufacture of basic metal and fabricated metal products’(31.6%), ‘Manufacture of chemical products and basic pharmaceutical products’ (24.0
%), ‘Manufacture of wood and wood products’ (21.1%), ‘Manufacture of furniture’ (8.0%), ‘Manufacture of rubber and plastic products’ (7.0%), ‘Manufacture of paper and paper products’(6.8 %), ‘Manufacture of textiles, wearing apparel, leather and other related products’ (6.6%), ‘Manufacture of other non-metallic mineral products’ (5.5 %), ‘Manufacture of food, beverages and tobacco products’ (5.0%) and ‘Other manufacturing and repair and installation of machinery and equipment’ (3.7%). In the meantime, only two manufacturing sub activities, namely ‘Manufacture of coke and refined petroleum products’ and ‘Manufacture of machinery and equipment’ reported contractions of 13.4% and 2.5% respectively during the second quarter of 2024. Among other industrial activities, ‘Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply’ and ‘Water collection, treatment and supply’ grew by 21.9% and 4.3% respectively in the second quarter of 2024.

Services activities

Most of the services activities recorded expansions in the second quarter of 2024 and collectively reported a 2.5% growth compared to the reported 0.5% contraction in the second quarter of the previous year.

Among the services activities, ‘Accommodation, food and beverage serving activities’ (21.1%),‘Insurance, reinsurance and pension funding’ (14.1%), ‘IT programing consultancy and related activities’(14.0%),‘Postal and courier services’ (13.3%), ‘Telecommunication’ (6.7%), ‘Financial service activities’(5.7%), ‘Programing and broadcasting activities’ (5.3 %), ‘Real estate activities and ownership of dwelling’ (4.2%), ‘Education’ (2.4%), ‘Professional services’ (2.3%), ‘Transportation of goods and passengers including warehousing’ (1.8%), ‘Wholesale and retail trade’ (0.8 %) and ‘Other personal services’ (0.6%) reported positive growth rates in the secondquarter of 2024. On the contrary, only two services activities declined during this quarter, namely ‘Public administration and defence’ (3.1%) and ‘Human health services’ (2.3%)⍐.

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Straying from IMF debt plan could delay bailout: Finance Ministry

 Straying from IMF debt plan could delay bailout: Finance Ministry

By Bandula Sirimanna Sunday Times 15-09-2024

The Finance Ministry has issued a strong warning about the significant risks associated with challenging the country’s current debt sustainability assessment (DSA). Such actions could endanger Sri Lanka’s ongoing International Monetary Fund (IMF) bailout programme, potentially delaying vital financial support for months or even years.

In a detailed statement, the Ministry emphasised the critical need to adhere to the IMF’s established debt framework.

The IMF mandates that countries seeking financial aid must demonstrate sustainable debt levels. If Sri Lanka’s debt is deemed unsustainable, the IMF will not be able to proceed with the bailout.

This underscores the importance of aligning the country’s debt restructuring efforts with the IMF’s guidelines to secure the necessary relief and meet debt targets.

Sri Lanka has made notable progress under the current IMF programme, but the road to recovery is still precarious. According to IMF Senior Mission Chief Peter Breuer, continuing with reforms aimed at fostering stable and inclusive economic growth is essential to avoid a return to crisis.

A key challenge remains achieving the primary fiscal balance—excluding interest payments—required to restore debt sustainability. From 2025 onwards, this balance must reach at least 2-3 per cent of GDP, based on realistic budget assumptions, he added.

However, some economic experts, including a former Treasury Secretary who wished to remain anonymous, have criticised the IMF’s debt sustainability analysis (DSA) methodology.

They argue that the estimated reduction in external debt is insufficient and that domestic debt restructuring unfairly burdens the working population by imposing losses on pension funds, which hold sovereign debt.

These experts contend that the focus should be on reducing foreign exchange-denominated debt, as the current approach may not deliver the necessary relief.

Recent media reports indicated that
Sri Lanka did not devise its own DSA during debt restructuring negotiations.

The Finance Ministry responded by clarifying that while Sri Lanka has made amendments to IMF agreements in the past, the current situation is different due to the central role of debt restructuring in the ongoing IMF-supported economic reform programme.

Sri Lanka is now part of the IMF’s Market Access Sovereign Risk and Debt Sustainability Framework (MAC SRDSF), a model that assesses debt sustainability for middle-income countries. This framework is rigid, with debt targets that can only be adjusted under significant changes in circumstances.

Sri Lanka has developed its own internal DSA, with the assistance of debt advisors, to inform its negotiating strategy during talks. However, the IMF’s DSA remains the independent benchmark to ensure that any agreements with creditors meet the required debt relief targets.

The Ministry has warned that opposing the IMF’s DSA could lead to severe delays in securing financial support, which would be disastrous for Sri Lanka’s fragile economy. The Ministry advocates for a pragmatic approach, emphasising the importance of timely action to protect the nation’s economic future.

Northern youth as yet unconvinced amid joblessness

Despite the (ITAK) party central committee decision to support Mr.Premadasa, its supporters, backed by MPs launched pocket meetings canvassing votes for the Tamil common candidate. 

Northern youth as yet unconvinced amid joblessness

By S. Rubatheesan  Sunday Times 15-09-2024

Most Northern voters, particularly young people, are as yet undecided whom to vote for in the presidential election next Saturday.

For Sriharan Abilash, 20, of Aralay North, this will be the first time he is going to cast his vote, but he is not sure. “I’m going to wait for a couple of more days to decide.’’

He expects a stable economy and a boost for the rural economy since many districts in the province lack infrastructure and job opportunities for the youth who are leaving for work overseas.

“This is very critical for us since many youngsters, including my friends, are planning to leave since they don’t see many opportunities here to lead a decent life,” he said.

Along with prominent candidates, independent President Ranil Wickremesinghe, Samagi Jana Balawegaya leader and opposition leader Sajith Premadasa, candidate of National Peoples’ Power, Anura Kumara Dissanayake, another independent candidate known as the common Tamil candidate P. Ariyanenthiran is gaining traction.

Unlike previous presidential elections where Tamil people supported a leading candidate, Tamil nationalist parties and civil society outfits fielded a common candidate for the Tamil cause, a symbolic protest to register their disappointment over the failure of past governments to address the ethnic conflict in the country.

Driver Sriskantharaja Sivakumar, 42, from Jaffna town said, like many others in his village, he is confident of a Premadasa presidency.

“Among all the candidates, my support is for Sajith Premadasa. Because, like his father, the late Mr Premadasa, he also initiated many housing projects in the province for war-affected people. Other candidates did nothing for the Tamil people in terms of development,” Mr Sivakumar told the Sunday Times.

With mixed signals coming from the main Tamil constituent party of Ilankai Thamil Arasu Katchchi (ITAK) on the polls despite the party central committee decision to support Mr Premadasa, its supporters, backed by MPs launched pocket meetings canvassing votes for the Tamil common candidate.

ITAK leader, parliamentarian, S. Shritharan organised grassroots campaigns and pocket meetings supporting a Tamil common candidacy in Kilinochchi early this week mobilising a large crowd.

ITAK General Secretary Dr. P. Sathiyalingam wrote to all the regional wings of ITAK in eight districts reiterating the party’s decision to support Mr Premadasa this week and request Mr Ariyanenthiran, a member of the party central committee, to leave the presidential race.

The party is to meet this week to discuss electioneering and canvassing in support of Mr Premadasa despite internal disagreements among the MPs and senior leaders.

On Friday, a massive election canvassing meeting was organised in Mannar Bus stand premises where P. Ariyanenthiran urged voters to only vote for his symbol, the conch shell, as many activists canvassed to extend the preferential votes for other candidates. Leader of Tamil Eelam Liberation Organization (TELO) and ITAK MP Selvam Adaikalanathan organised the meeting.

Meanwhile, several low-key, grassroots campaigns and pocket meetings were launched this week in support of Tamil common candidate Mr Ariyanenthiran. Earlier this week, Mr Ariyanenthiran was in Batticaloa, his hometown, where he was given a grand welcome by locals and civil society groups.

Speaking in Jaffna yesterday, Mr Ariyanenthiran observed that there has been significant support for him in recent weeks as he travelled across the two provinces.

Claiming that he is merely a ‘symbol’ for the Tamil cause, Mr Ariyanenthiran said that Tamil people are forced to take up this position which he believes is a new path in the Tamil cause to let their voices be heard.

The Tamil National Peoples’ Front (TNPF) also carried out low-key campaigns urging Tamil people to boycott the polls saying all presidential candidates vowed to protect the unitary nature of the state and not under a federal-based structure.

TNPF parliamentarian S. Kajendran who was distributing leaflets along with his supporters in Kilinochchi on Friday was questioned by police and later released for canvassing for a boycott⍐.

Amidst concerns, IMF team coming two weeks after polls

 Amidst concerns, IMF team coming two weeks after polls

Sunday, September 15, 2024 Sunday Times

An International Monetary Fund (IMF) delegation will arrive in Sri Lanka two weeks after the presidential election is concluded to make an assessment for a new staff-level agreement and review the ongoing programme.

They will meet with the elected president and discuss any changes that the administration hopes to propose to the ongoing IMF programme, Finance Ministry officials said.

“One of their main concerns is the country’s political stability, without which the economy will not be stable. They have some concerns regarding the interim period between the conclusion of the presidential election and the general election,” a senior official said.

Treasury officials have also done an assessment on various scenarios to expect after the conclusion of the presidential election. They have studied in detail the manifestos of the main candidates and summarised how political developments could create an unfavourable situation for the continuity of the IMF programme.

Among these are concerns that the increase in the budget deficit of more than 11 percent of GDP due to tax cuts and excessive expenditures would pose difficulties in the preparation of the budget in line with the agreements with the IMF under the Extended Fund Facility (EFF), the Treasury officials said.

The assessment says that a situation created where there is a substantial primary deficit from 3% to 4% of GDP could be a serious violation of the IMF programme.

The assessment also voices concern over disruption to the ongoing agreements reached with external creditors under the debt restructuring process as well as fiscal imbalances that could have direct and indirect implications on the currency as well⍐.

Parliament: NPP concerned of dissolution

 Parliament: NPP concerned of dissolution

• NPP lawyers cite need for ‘peaceful power transition’

The Morning 16 Sep 2024 | BY Sahan Tennekoon

The Janatha Vimukthi Peramuna (JVP)-led National People's Power (NPP) expressed concern over a potential dissolution of Parliament by the President before the announcement of the Presidential Election results.

Speaking at a press conference yesterday (15), NPP Lawyers' Collective member President's Counsel Upul Kumarapperuma argued that if the President dissolves Parliament on 21 September, before the election results are announced, it would negatively impact the country. He made these remarks in response to a question posed regarding the allegations made by certain parties that the President is to dissolve the Parliament on the Election night.

He stressed the importance of a peaceful power transition without unnecessary chaos. "Although the Constitution grants the President the power to dissolve Parliament in such a situation, doing so amidst the election would create further issues," Kumarapperuma remarked. He highlighted that while the President does have constitutional authority, such an action could be detrimental to the citizens and exacerbate the country's problems.

Kumarapperuma also stated: "The President is granted power by the Constitution to act in such a manner, but if he proceeds with dissolving Parliament during the election period, it would be the worst thing for the country” stressing the importance of maintaining stability during the transition of power.

In contrast, Education Minister Dr. Susil Premajayntha, speaking at a rally recently, noted that if President Ranil Wickremesinghe is re-elected, he would only dissolve Parliament after ensuring the approval of benefits for the people and the passage of crucial legislation.

However, during an election rally held in June, senior NPP officials claimed that if they are victorious, they will dissolve the Parliament on the night they win⍐. 

Once considered foes, Iran-backed groups get a warm welcome from Iraq

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US, UK ‘want war,’ continue to fan the flames of the Russia-Ukraine conflict

 

US, UK ‘want war,’ continue to fan the flames of the Russia-Ukraine conflict

By Global Times

Published: Sep 12, 2024 The actions of the US and UK to fan the flames of the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict have further accelerated and intensified. On one hand, they discourage peace negotiations, and on the other, they exacerbate the escalation of the conflict, with Ukraine ultimately bearing the greatest cost.
US Secretary of State Antony Blinken and UK Foreign Secretary David Lammy announced new aid packages for Ukraine on Wednesday during their joint visit to the war-torn country, the first such visit in over a decade. According to reports, the US will give Ukraine $700 million in humanitarian and energy assistance, while the UK will allocate nearly $800 million in financial support and military equipment supplies. 
Regrettably, amid Western allies' belief that the conflict is entering a "critical moment," this rare joint visit still does not aim to bring peace. Experts suggest that this visit reflects a clear political posture of the US and UK. The two want to ensure that Ukraine adopts a hardline, uncompromising position and to exhaust Russia militarily through Western aid to Ukraine. For the US and UK, peace talks are not even an option. Their real intention is to fan the flames of war, ensuring that Ukraine continues to serve as a pawn in this protracted conflict.
The Ukraine crisis has now dragged on for more than two and a half years, and it is precisely under the overt and covert interference of Western countries like the US and UK that opportunities for peace have repeatedly slipped away. Recently, former US ambassador to NATO Victoria Nuland acknowledged that the US and its allies advised Ukraine to reject a peace deal with Russia in 2022. David Arakhamia, a Ukrainian politician, also said that British prime minister Boris Johnson visited Kiev in 2022 to inform Ukrainian officials that the West would not sign anything with Moscow, urging: "Let's just fight."
However, it is the people of Ukraine who have paid the price for the "let's just fight" instigation with their lives, while the US and UK, who continue to stoke the flames, are calculating the political and economic benefits they stand to gain. For the US, its self-serving "war economy" has caused immense damage and suffering to many countries, while simultaneously bringing enormous profits to the American military-industrial complex, fostering a vicious cycle between "war and profit." No wonder independent US presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr once bluntly stated that the US is disrupting peace negotiations because Washington "wanted the war."
As the US' front-runner in containing Russia, the UK has closely followed Washington in its military support for Ukraine, hoping to gain more benefits and influence from the Ukraine crisis while demonstrating its great power status and ability to maintain control over European security. However, the UK's continued arming of Ukraine has not come without a price. While the US profits immensely, the spillover effects of the Ukraine crisis have increased the risk of stagflation in the UK, and the massive military aid has exacerbated the country's financial difficulties, with social discontent continuing to grow. As Europe finds itself drawn into the vortex of the Russia-Ukraine conflict by the US and unable to extricate itself, the UK should carefully consider its true gains and losses as it follows Washington's lead. 
Ironically, while the US and UK are busy fueling the conflict and obstructing peace talks, they continue to baselessly accuse China of supporting Russia's military actions. During the US-UK joint press conference held on Tuesday, Blinken once again mentioned "China's support." In fact, China is neither a creator nor a party to the Ukraine crisis and is committed to promoting talks for peace. As the true instigators of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, the US and its allies should not shift the blame for the problems they created onto China. Their attempts to unjustly smear China and portray themselves as "defenders of peace" will ultimately be in vain⍐.