China’s New Era Mechanism for Common Prosperity

 

President Deng Xiaoping opening the Common Prosperity plan of China

President Anura Kumara Dissanayake to visit China in January:

China’s New Era Mechanism for Common Prosperity

Signaling a balanced approach to managing ties with both Asian giants, Sri Lankan President Anura Kumara Dissanayake is set to visit China in January 2025, within weeks after his official visit to India in the third week of December 2024.

China being Sri Lanka’s reliable economic partner, the visit reflects his strategy to strengthen bilateral relations and seek support for Sri Lanka’s economic recovery. Dissanayake’s aim to secure foreign investment, technology, and tourism support while addressing Sri Lanka’s debt challenges. China, a significant investor in Sri Lanka’s infrastructure, has expressed its willingness to deepen cooperation under Dissanayake’s leadership. Analysts suggest that the President’s leftist ideology aligns with fostering closer ties with China, but his pragmatic stance seeks to maintain a balance with India’s strategic interests in the region.

Dissanayake’s diplomatic approach is seen as crucial to navigating the economic and geopolitical pressures facing Sri Lanka. The outcomes of these engagements with India and China will shape the country’s recovery path and its role in regional dynamics.

China’s push for “common prosperity” under the leadership of President Xi Jinping reflects the nation’s resolve to address income inequality, foster equitable growth, and modernise its economic model. As part of this vision, the government has introduced a range of policies, mechanisms, and reforms to promote wealth redistribution, social equity, and sustainable development. This policy shift represents a key element of China’s “New Era” strategy, aiming to balance rapid economic growth with inclusivity and fairness. This is an area Sri Lanka could get huge benefits from the Chinese experience.

《Sugeeswara Senadhira Daily News December 20, 2024》

Economic reforms

Common prosperity is not a new concept in China; it was first articulated by Deng Xiaoping during the era of economic reforms in the late 1970s. Deng’s vision emphasised that “some people and regions can get rich first” to spur overall development. However, after decades of rapid growth, income disparities between rural and urban areas, as well as between regions and social classes, have become a pressing issue. Xi Jinping has revived and redefined this goal, focusing on reducing inequalities while maintaining economic stability.

For the National People’s Power (NPP) Government which emphasises the imperative of equal distribution of wealth and upliftment of rural and urban poor, the Chinese concept for achieving Common Prosperity will be a solid path to emulate. The core mechanisms adopted to implement this concept include wealth redistribution through taxation and transfers, tax reforms targeting high-income earners and corporations to address the growing wealth gap, enhanced progressive taxation, property taxes, and measures to curb tax evasion among the wealthy and social safety nets, such as improved pensions, healthcare, and education subsidies, aim to uplift low-income groups.

Major steps taken for rural revitalisation and regional development are measures to close the urban-rural divide, investments in infrastructure, agricultural modernisation, and rural industries seek to increase rural incomes and enhance quality of life and targeted funding and policy support to reduce geographic disparities in least developed provinces.

To fast track the Concept of Common Prosperity, Chinese government has encouraged philanthropy and Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR). The government encouraged wealthy individuals and corporations to contribute to social causes. Tech giants and private enterprises are being urged to support social programmes, invest in community development, and promote inclusive hiring practices. They also introduced additional distribution mechanisms existing primary (market-based) and secondary (taxation and redistribution) income distributions such as voluntary contributions through charity, foundations, and social initiatives.This mechanism emphasises moral responsibility and societal values over mere profit-making.

Another crucial step was to reform the private sector by implementing policies to regulate monopolies and ensure fair competition aim to create a level playing field.The crackdown on tech firms and real estate developers reflects a broader goal of curbing excessive corporate influence and prioritizing social good over profit.

Sustainable programmes

Together with these steps, sustainable programmes were launched to boostemployment and education through vocational training programs and reforms in the education system are designed to enhance skills and create more equitable opportunities for upward mobility.Policies promoting job creation, particularly in green industries and high-tech sectors, help address unemployment and underemployment.

While taking lessons from the successful Common Prosperity programme of China, it is advisable to take safeguards against possible pitfalls that could adversely impact economic growth. Over-regulation of the private sector risks stifling innovation and slowing GDP growth. And businesses may become cautious about investments due to perceived unpredictability in policies. The scale and complexity of addressing entrenched inequalities pose significant challenges. Excessive state intervention could harm market dynamics, leading to inefficiency. Hence, balancing redistribution with economic liberalisation remains a delicate task.

China’s pursuit of common prosperity also has international ramifications. As a major global economy, its policies can influence trade, investment, and global inequality discourse. The emphasis on reducing disparities aligns with global calls for sustainable and inclusive development, offering a potential model for other nations grappling with similar challenges.

China’s “New Era” mechanism for common prosperity marks a significant shift in the country’s developmental priorities. While challenges remain, the initiative underscores the government’s commitment to addressing inequality and fostering a more inclusive society. If implemented effectively, it has the potential to serve as a blueprint for balancing growth with equity in a rapidly changing world.

President Dissanayake is in a position to get every possible support from President Xi Jinping for implementing a comprehensive prosperity package in Sri Lanka designed under the Chinese leader’s concept of ‘New Era Mechanism for Common Prosperity’.⍐

NPP’s ‘New Era’ with China and India

NPP’s ‘New Era’ with China and India

《 Ceylon Today By Sulochana Ramaiah Mohan December 21, 2024

 》 

The grand and ostentatious Indian tour, hosted by India for President Anura Kumara Dissanayake and Foreign Minister Vijitha Herath following their sweeping victories in the recent Presidential and Parliamentary Elections, concluded successfully. However, it prompted numerous questions from various political parties regarding the assurances exchanged between India and Sri Lanka, which the NPP government has sought to clarify over the past few days.

Most of the meetings with Indian officials were described as ‘Discussions’ by Foreign Minister Herath. Nonetheless, the tour ended on a positive note, with heightened optimism about the potential mutual benefits of the relationship between Sri Lanka and India.

Interestingly, upon their return to Sri Lanka, two delegations from the ruling Communist Party of China (CPC) were seen at the doors of both the JVP headquarters and the Presidential Secretariat, adding further intrigue to the evolving diplomatic dynamics. Although these visits were prearranged, their timing—immediately after the Indian tour—suggested an air of haste and secrecy on the part of the Chinese.

One delegation met with the General Secretary of the ruling leftist Janata Vimukthi Peramuna (JVP), Tilvin Silva, while the other engaged directly with the President. These meetings appear to set the stage for another grand reception in China for the NPP leader, Dissanayake, reportedly scheduled for the second week of January 2025.

At this juncture, the Sri Lankan government has reiterated its commitment to preserving the country’s territorial integrity and safeguarding India’s national security interests, assuring that it would avoid actions detrimental to India. However, the presence of the CPC delegations has sparked speculation about the foreign policy direction of the NPP, which appears to be ambiguous at this stage. These developments underscore the critical need for a coherent and well-defined policy, as the lack of clarity could pose governance challenges.

Foreign Minister Herath has argued that a comprehensive foreign policy is not immediately necessary, suggesting that traditional non-aligned approaches or generic strategic ties may no longer suffice in an era where nations demand bespoke partnerships. This perspective holds some validity. Powerful nations have crafted their own strategic frameworks—such as America’s Indo-Pacific and Quad initiatives, India’s SAGAR vision, China’s Belt and Road Initiative, France’s maritime strategy, and the Middle East’s focus on oil and gas interests—that countries like Sri Lanka must navigate carefully.

Although the NPP government has been warmly received by countries such as Russia, the United States, India, Cuba, and China, aspects of its policies remain misaligned with the expectations of these nations. There were noticeable omissions on key issues, such as the Russia-India discussions on the Mattala Airport or Adani’s renewable energy project, during the Indian visit. This highlights the geopolitical balancing act Sri Lanka must undertake to ensure these proposals and development initiatives align with its national interests.

The issue of Chinese research vessels docking in Sri Lanka, a longstanding point of contention in Sri Lanka-India relations, will test President Dissanayake’s diplomatic skills. With the current agreement prohibiting Chinese research ships set to expire on 31 December 2024, Foreign Minister Herath has announced the establishment of a committee to draft a policy framework for research vessels visiting Sri Lanka. He believes this framework could help resolve conflicts and differences. Until the policy is finalised, permissions for research vessels will remain on hold, with the new framework expected to take effect on 1 January 2025.

Tilvin and CPC Meeting

The CPC delegation met Tilvin Silva at the JVP headquarters on Wednesday morning (18). They together with several JVP office- bearers, participated in a meeting as part of an exchange programme, during which the CPC shared insights into Chinese President Xi Jinping’s ‘Common Prosperity’ initiative and its potential to support rural development in Sri Lanka, according to the JVP.

Tilvin Silva, a Marxist politician and founding member of the NPP, has been instrumental in shaping the JVP’s policies within the current government. Following the meeting, Silva remarked, “The Chinese delegation, comprising around 12 members, expressed their willingness to support Sri Lanka’s development through expertise and technology, particularly in the agricultural sector. They emphasised that they sought nothing in return and were committed to assisting us.”

The meeting appeared to reflect a tripartite agenda involving the CPC, Sri Lanka, and Singapore. Silva highlighted the long-standing ties between the JVP and the CPC stating, “We have maintained close ties with the CPC since earlier times. Now, as two governments, we will continue to nurture these ties for the benefit of Sri Lanka’s development and economic growth.”

Addressing the media about the JVP’s stance on foreign assistance, Silva clarified, “We are open to strengthening relationships with countries like China, India, Russia, and America. There is no longer a defined ‘opposition party’ in the country, and as a government, we are committed to building these partnerships without hesitation.”

Silva also dismissed speculation that the discussions included topics such as rice and fertiliser imports. “This meeting was not intended for such negotiations. Their primary focus was on offering support, and we agreed to continue discussions on various aspects of cooperation in the future,” he said.

After the meeting with Silva, the CPC delegation proceeded to the Prime Minister’s office, where they met with the PM’s Secretary, Pradeep Saputhanthri.

The CPC delegation highlighted China’s focus on ‘Common Prosperity’ under President Xi Jinping’s leadership, expressing its relevance for Sri Lanka. They explained that the initiative reflects China’s determination to address income inequality, foster equitable growth, and modernise its economic model. In separate meetings with the JVP leader and the PM’s Secretary, the delegation outlined how the Chinese government has introduced a range of policies, mechanisms, and reforms to promote wealth redistribution, social equity, and sustainable development. This policy shift, they noted, is central to China’s ‘New Era’ strategy, which seeks to balance rapid economic growth with inclusivity and fairness. They emphasised that Sri Lanka could benefit significantly from the ‘Chinese experience’ in this regard.

The concept of ‘Common Prosperity’ is not new in China, first articulated by Deng Xiaoping during the economic reforms of the late 1970s. Deng’s vision proposed that ‘some people and regions can get rich first’ to drive overall development. However, decades of rapid growth have led to significant income disparities between rural and urban areas, as well as between regions and social classes. Xi Jinping has revived and redefined this goal, focusing on reducing inequalities while maintaining economic stability.

The CPC delegation noted that the NPP government’s emphasis on equal wealth distribution and uplifting both rural and urban poor aligns with China’s ‘Common Prosperity’ objectives. They suggested that Sri Lanka could adopt similar mechanisms, such as wealth redistribution through taxation and transfers, tax reforms targeting high-income earners and corporations to address the wealth gap, enhanced progressive taxation, property taxes, and measures to curb tax evasion. Additionally, they highlighted the importance of social safety nets, including improved pensions, healthcare, and education subsidies, as essential tools to support low-income groups.

President AKD and CPPCC from China

On the same day, another CPC delegation, the National Committee of the Chinese People’s Political Consultative Conference (CPPCC), met with President Dissanayake along with the Chinese Ambassador to Sri Lanka. The President held discussions with Qin Boyong, Vice Chairperson of the CPPCC, at the Parliamentary Complex.

What is CPPCC?

The CPPCC National Committee comprises representatives from the Communist Party of China (CPC), other political parties, non-affiliated individuals, people’s organisations, ethnic minorities, compatriots from Hong Kong, Macao, and Taiwan, returned overseas Chinese, and various societal sectors, alongside specially invited individuals. In response to economic and social developments and internal structural changes within the United Front, the CPPCC has revised and enhanced the categorisation of societal sectors.

The CPPCC represents a significant achievement by the CPC in integrating Marxist-Leninist theories on the united front, political parties, and democratic politics with the unique realities and rich traditional culture of China. Under the leadership of the CPC, it is a groundbreaking initiative that unites various political parties, prominent non-affiliated individuals, people’s organisations, and individuals from all ethnic groups and sectors of society within the political system. The Constitution of the People’s Republic of China enshrines the long-term existence and development of the CPC-led system of multiparty cooperation and political consultation.

The CPPCC serves as an organisation of the Chinese people’s patriotic united front. It is a key mechanism for multiparty cooperation and political consultation under the CPC’s leadership, playing a pivotal role in promoting socialist democracy and practising whole-process people’s democracy in China. As a specialised body and an essential channel for socialist consultative democracy, the CPPCC is a vital component of the state governance system and a uniquely Chinese political institution.

During discussions with the NPP government and President Dissanayake, the Chinese delegation elaborated on the overarching goals for the CPPCC’s work in the ‘new era’ of China. These goals emphasise adherence to the guidance of President Xi Jinping’s Thoughts on Socialism with Chinese Characteristics for a New Era. This includes upholding CPC leadership and implementing the principles set forth at the 20th National Congress of the CPC and the Central Conference on CPPCC Work.

The delegation outlined the importance of deeply understanding the decisive significance of establishing Comrade Xi Jinping’s core position within the Party and recognising the guiding role of his thought. Additionally, the objectives call for heightened political integrity, alignment with the Party’s broader vision and leadership, and strengthened confidence in the path, theory, system, and culture of socialism with Chinese characteristics. Moreover, they stressed maintaining General Secretary Xi’s core position in the Party and ensuring the authority and centralised, unified leadership of the CPC Central Committee.

Since its establishment, the CPPCC has played a significant role in the founding and development of the People’s Republic of China (PRC). It has been instrumental during historical periods of socialist revolution, development, and reform. On 30 April 1948, on the eve of the final victory in the People’s War of Liberation, the CPC issued the ‘May 1st’ slogan, calling for “all democratic parties, mass organisations, and community leaders to immediately convene a political consultative conference to discuss the convening of a conference of people’s representatives and the establishment of a democratic united government.” This call received enthusiastic support, marking a crucial moment in the establishment of the PRC.

China asks to restart stalled marine research activities in Sri Lanka

During the meeting, Vice Chairperson Qin Boyong expressed her expectation to further strengthen the longstanding relationship between China and Sri Lanka while collaborating with the new government in the future.
At the meeting, President AKD stressed the continued need for Chinese assistance and also highlighted the necessity of completing the Chinese-funded section of the Central Expressway, which remains incomplete. He also noted plans to expedite the initiation of supply hubs and institutional projects centred around the Colombo Port City and the Hambantota District.
Vice Chairperson Qin pointed out her plans to restart stalled marine research activities and to commence pending projects for various reasons. This comes in the wake of India’s calling to be cautious about entertaining Chinese vessels. This matter has been now taken up at the State level to hold discussions, according to Foreign Minister Herath.

Qin also expressed expectations of establishing Chinese companies within the Hambantota Investment Zone to provide Sri Lanka with better global access. Moreover, preparations are in place to welcome President Anura Kumara Dissanayake during his upcoming visit to China.

Minister of Foreign Affairs, Foreign Employment, and Tourism, Vijitha Herath, Deputy Speaker Dr. Rizvie Salih and CPPCC committee member Ma Youxiang, among others, were present at the occasion.

Joint Statement and MoUs

The official statement by the AKD and the joint statement were issued after the conclusion of the Indian tour. These statements primarily emphasised strengthening the ties between Sri Lanka and India. Meetings were held with the Ministry of Health, as well as with Prime Minister Modi and the President. Visits included the Bodhgaya site and the India Foundation.

During the tour, the NPP signed two MoUs for public servants, one focusing on a two-week training programme and the other for training 1,500 public servants. Another one was for revoking double taxation while trading between India and Sri Lanka.

Regarding research ships entering Sri Lanka’s territorial waters, the government explained its approach to national security in relation to this issue. Though It was noted that no harm would stem from this, the need for a national policy on research was identified.  A discussion is being held to appoint a special committee, which will not only focus on research ships but also address the flow of ships coming to Sri Lanka. A proper implementation framework is to be established, and a report on this will be prepared. Minister Herath noted that a decision has already been made to appoint a special committee for this purpose.

At the outset, India raised concerns regarding research ships and land. They will follow the standard operating procedure (SOP), and the ban imposed last year will remain in effect. “We are preparing a new SOP, and there are proposals that need to be updated. The ban has not been relaxed, and the committee will make a decision after 31 December.”

Noticing the juggernauts of India and China navigating their own dynamics and settling their scores on Sri Lankan soil, it becomes increasingly challenging—and potentially traumatic—for Sri Lanka to sideline either of them.

The CPC’s presence and its BRI strategy, alongside India’s Neighbourhood First Policy and its ties with the Quad, will continue to shape their dynamics, with the NPP closely observing and experiencing the unfolding developments, having given assurances to both sides.⍐

The US-Israeli monster is ripping Syria to pieces. Part II

The US-Israeli monster is ripping Syria to pieces. 

Part II. Israel’s policy vis-à-vis Syria is malice and revenge

《 NEO Viktor Mikhin, December 19, 2024 》

Israel’s nefarious plans for Syria, based on hatred, malice and revenge, are becoming clear days after the fall of the country’s government. Since Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham* (HTS) and other rebel groups took control of Damascus and overthrew President Bashar al-Assad, Israel has intensified its unprecedented attacks on Syrian territory.

The US-Israeli monster

What is Israel bombing?

Israel does not strike militants and jihadists and their positions. The Pentagon is shamefully hiding behind the notion of ‘striking terrorist organisations’, whereas the IDF explicitly states that its main task in Syria is to destroy the country’s military structure and weapons. The Israeli military reported that it has carried out about 480 strikes on strategic military infrastructure in Syria in just 48 hours. “Over the past 48 hours, the Israel Defence Forces (IDF) have attacked most strategic weapons depots in Syria, preventing them from falling into the hands of terrorist elements”, the military said in a statement, adding that the targets were 15 warships, anti-aircraft batteries and weapons factories in several cities. At the same time, Israeli Defence Minister Israel Katz said that the military “will destroy heavy strategic weapons throughout Syria, including air defence systems, surface-to-air, surface-to-surface, cruise, long-range and coastal missiles”. A senior Israeli official said the airstrikes would continue in the coming days.

Israel’s policy vis-à-vis Syria is hatred, malice and revenge

The Syrian Observatory for Human Rights added that Israel “destroyed critical military infrastructure in Syria, including Syrian airports and their depots, aircraft squadrons, radars, military radar stations, as well as a multitude of weapons and ammunition depots in various locations in most Syrian provinces”. At this point, it is quite clear that Israel is seeking to destroy Syria’s defences and expand its presence in the Golan Heights – and possibly beyond – forever.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has brazenly declared that the Golan Heights, occupied by Israel almost 60 years ago, will remain Israeli “forever”. Speaking at a press conference in Jerusalem, Netanyahu thanked US President-elect Donald Trump for recognising Israel’s annexation of the Golan Heights (1981) during his first term as president and stated that “the Golan will be part of the State of Israel forever”. Israel occupied the Syrian Golan Heights after the 1967 Six-Day War. In 1981, Tel Aviv annexed the Golan Heights – a step not recognised by the international community. Netanyahu said that Israel’s control over the territory “ensures our security and sovereignty”. He personally ordered troops to occupy the UN-controlled buffer zone and move beyond it after rebels overthrew Syrian President Bashar al-Assad. Now Israeli troops are only 25km from Damascus and could quickly ‘talk some sense’ into the new Syrian government.

The United Nations and Israel’s neighbours condemned the move. A UN representative stated that Israel’s actions are a “violation” of the 1974 agreement on the separation of forces between Israel and Syria. Netanyahu cynically replied that the collapse of the al-Assad government and the retreat of the Syrian army from their positions “annulled the agreement”. Earlier, Israeli Foreign Minister Gideon Sa’ar, in trying to sugar-coat another blatant injustice, said that the seizure of the buffer zone was “a limited and temporary measure that we took for security purposes”. US State Department spokesman Matthew Miller expressed understanding regarding Israel’s actions, which, in his words, “are not permanent” and “we ultimately want to see long-term stability in relations between Israel and Syria, which means that we support all parties that comply with the 1974 disengagement agreement”.

Israeli campaign aimed at eliminating scientists

Dr. Hamdi Ismail Nadi, scientist and former head of the research centre of the Syrian Ministry of Defence, located near Damascus, was found dead in his house. Dr. Nadi was a chemist and participated in chemical weapons development programmes. Zahra Hemsiya, a microbiologist involved in nuclear research programmes, was killed. She was found in her home with several bullet wounds. Dr. Shadia Habal, a physicist who participated in a number of international programmes, was killed in her home. The killers shot her and her husband and all of Dr. Habal’s research was stolen.

The deaths of Nadi, Zahra Hemsiyah and Shadia Habal are reminiscent of the murders of Iraqi scientists committed by the Israeli spy agency after the overthrow of Saddam Hussein more than two decades ago. After the overthrow of Saddam Hussein, hundreds of Iraqi scientists, academics and intellectuals were either kidnapped or killed in the chaos caused by the US war against the Arab country. The killings are believed to have been a systematic attempt to eliminate or expel a group crucial to the reconstruction of Iraq.

At that time, according to reports, the Israeli Mossad, in cooperation with the United States, killed more than 500 Iraqi scientists and professors. They claimed that Israeli special forces operating against Iraqi scientists were active in the country after the fall of Saddam. On June 14, 2005, the Palestinian Information Centre reported that Israeli and foreign agents sent by Mossad to Iraq, in cooperation with the United States, killed at least 350 Iraqi scientists and more than 200 university professors and academics. It quoted a report compiled by the US State Department for then-US President George W. Bush. According to the report, Mossad agents operated in Iraq to eliminate Iraqi nuclear scientists and biologists, as well as other scientists and prominent university professors.

“Israeli special forces have been operating in Iraq for more than a year and the main purpose of their activities was to kill Iraqi scientists and intellectuals. The Zionists resorted to a large-scale campaign of assassinations after the failure of American efforts, which began immediately after the US occupation of Iraq and were aimed at attracting a number of Iraqi scientists to cooperate and work in the United States”, the Palestinian Information Centre reported.

Now it seems that Israel has similar plans for Syria. Currently, the nature of Israeli activities in Syria are like a scorched earth policy in the face of the inaction of the armed groups (as well as regional and extra-regional countries) that overthrew al-Assad. HTS* leader Abu Mohammed al-Jolani said that the Syrian people are the “rightful owners” of the country, calling the fall of al-Assad “a victory for the Islamic nation”. For now, though, he remains silent about the escalation of Israeli aggression against Syria. The newly created ‘salvation government’ in Syria, to which Prime Minister Assad Mohammad Ghazi al-Jalali agreed to transfer power, also did not comment on the increased ground and air attacks by Israel. Türkiye, which is considered the main sponsor of HTS*, also remains silent. Several Arab countries have expressed their disapproval of Israel’s military activities in Syria in recent days, but have not taken any concrete measures in response. Western countries are also looking the other way, as they are the sponsors of all these terrorist organisations.

It is now quite obvious that the current rulers of Syria, as well as the countries of the region, have given Israel carte blanche to continue its scorched earth strategy in Syria. This is consistent with Israel’s expansionist ambitions in the region. That is why Foreign Minister Sa’ar bluntly and cynically stated in an interview with the Times of Israel newspaper, which took place after Israel launched airstrikes on targets in Syria, that “the only thing we are interested in is the security of Israel and its citizens … that’s why we attacked strategic weapons systems, destroying the military structure”. This statement is, as they say, clear as day.⍐

*organisation banned in the Russian Federation

The US-Israeli monster is ripping Syria to pieces (Part 1)

The US-Israeli monster is ripping Syria to pieces (Part 1)

The US-Israeli monster is ripping Syria to pieces. 

Part 1. The US’ unprincipled policy of force in Syria

《 NEO Viktor Mikhin, December 16, 2024 》

US troops are remaining in Syria, as they have an ‘important mission’ there, stated US Deputy National Security Advisor Jon Finer in an interview at the Reuters NEXT conference in New York. He did not, though, specify the nature of this important mission.

US soldiers in Syria

In the Kurdish region, in the north of the country, there are about 10 US bases that control almost all of the sizeable oil production there. The black gold is then delivered by oil trucks to Türkiye, where it is quickly sold at discounted prices. The same oil supplies the needs of US bases in the north and 2 more in the south of Syria, near the city of al-Tanf. The money gathered from oil – or rather stolen from the Syrian people – is happily distributed among the ‘democratic’ US officers. Officially, the Pentagon states that there are only 900 military personnel in Syria, but this is hard to believe, as this would mean that only 75 military personnel service one base. Experts estimate the number of US military personnel to be more than three times as large and their number is constantly growing, taking into account the situation.

All of these terrorist groups and the United States are two sides of the same coin

The presence of a significant US military contingent is also indicated by the fact that the United States Central Command (CENTCOM) announced a massive number of airstrikes in the central regions of Syria. CENTCOM stated that on December 8 alone, as a result of a series of precision airstrikes, more than 75 military facilities were destroyed, which housed military equipment left there by the retreating Syrian army. In the largest operation in recent years, the US Air Force, including advanced B-52s, F-15s and A-10s, was deployed to “disrupt, weaken and defeat in order to prevent terrorist groups, including ISIS*, from conducting external operations and to ensure that these groups do not try to take advantage of the current situation for reconstruction in the central part of Syria”, CENTCOM said in a statement.

General Michael Erik Kurilla stressed that CENTCOM “will not allow terrorist groups to recover and take advantage of the current situation in Syria”, warning that any organisations cooperating with or supporting terrorists will be punished. The US was not able to provide any reliable evidence that the targets of the strikes were ‘camps and militants of terrorist groups’. Numerous US Air Force raids began immediately after the rapid overthrow of the Syrian government of Bashar al-Assad by various groups, led by the terrorist Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham*.

A little about al-Jolani

Before launching his jaw-dropping offensive, Abu Muhammad al-Jolani was known in the West as the head of a terrorist organisation, recognised as such by the United Nations, and a $10 million bounty was placed on his head. However, the unexpected success of his attacks turned the situation upside down; now Western media presents him as a changed man who preaches pluralism and tolerance and wants only peace for the Syrian people.

The abrupt change in the tone of Western media vis-à-vis al-Jolani, on top of evidence that HTS* and allied groups are using modern Turkish and US weapons to capture cities abandoned by the Syrian army, indicates preliminary planning and coordination between the West and the new de facto rulers of Syria.

The leader of this group, Abu Muhammad al-Jolani (real name Ahmed Hussein al-Shar’a), was born in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, in 1982 to a Syrian engineer. His family returned to Syria in 1989 and settled in Damascus. In 2003, Ahmed Hussein al-Shar’a went to Iraq, where he joined forces fighting against the United States. In 2006, he was arrested and spent five years in prison. After that, having reached an agreement with the Americans and received appropriate instructions from them, he returned to Syria, where he gathered fighters under the brand ‘Jabhat al-Nusra’*. In Syria, al-Jolani met the terrorist al-Baghdadi, the infamous leader of ISIS*. He was later accused of involvement in the September 9, 2001, conspiracy against the United States and a $10 million bounty was placed on his head. It turns out, though, that he was just quietly sitting in Idleb and enjoying the protection of the US military – funny.

Thus, it turns out that it was the ‘democratic’ United States that became the midwife of all active terrorist organisations, starting from al-Qa’eda*, ISIS* and ending with Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham*. And after that, who will believe General Michael Erik Kurilla and other long tongues in Washington that they are allegedly fighting against terrorist organisations? These terrorist groups and the United States are two sides of the same coin. 

The real motive of the US bombings 

Analysts questioned the timing of the attacks, saying that if the US mission in Syria is aimed at preventing ISIS* from coming to power, then why were these airstrikes against terrorists not carried out earlier? Small cells of the terrorist group have established themselves in the central part of Syria near areas under US control. Previously, the world accused the US of protecting terrorists in order to maintain instability in Syria and now, it turns out, the Americans have seen the light and have begun quietly destroying the military structure of Syria.

In May of last year, the Director of the Foreign Intelligence Service of the Russian Federation, Sergey Naryshkin, accused the United States of preparing ISIS* terrorists to engage in sabotage and carry out terrorist attacks both in Syria and in Russia. Then Naryshkin said that the US-occupied al-Tanf base on the border of Syria, Jordan and Iraq was used to train ISIS* terrorists. CENTCOM’s statement adds fuel to the widespread rumours that the US kept ISIS* under its control during the era of former President Bashar al-Assad to serve Washington’s security interests.

Critics of the occupation accuse the United States of denying Syrian government institutions access to fertile lands and oil fields in the northeast of the country. In addition to the sanctions imposed against Damascus, these measures have put Syrians in a difficult humanitarian situation, depriving government agencies of much-needed oil revenues for the reconstruction of the country, humanitarian assistance to households and salaries for civil servants, as well as the Syrian army. Experts say that most of Syria’s oil revenues are spent by Washington to finance the US military presence in Syria.

It is estimated that the amount of oil revenues appropriated by the United States amounts to billions of dollars. In other words, the United States is brazenly and by force plundering the peoples of the world anywhere they are allowed to do so. This greedy American robbery will progress, only on a larger scale, taking advantage of the current complete confusion and lack of power in Syria.⍐

*organisations banned in the Russian Federation

The US-Israeli monster is ripping Syria to pieces. Part II

Implement Indo-Lanka agreement as soon as possible, says Moragoda

Implement Indo-Lanka agreement 

as soon as possible, says Moragoda 

Sri Lanka’s former High Commissioner to India Milinda Moragoda has emphasised the pivotal importance of Colombo and Delhi quickly moving to the implementation phase of the agreement on ‘fostering partnership for a shared future.’ The former Minister said that the implementation should begin as fast as possible.

《  The Island LK  2024/12/19 》

He said so in response to The Island queries regarding the Indo-Lanka relations in the wake of President Anura Kumara Dissanayake’s meet with Indian Premier Narendra Modi. Referring to the joint statement that had been issued on 16 Dec., Moragoda said: “It is a comprehensive statement that covers a number of areas that are important to the Indo-Lanka relationship and Sri Lanka’s own economic development.

The statement has a significant number of action points, the execution of which can now be monitored by the two leaders during their future summits to ensure timely implementation.

 The statement blends the positive foundations and trajectory set by previous joint-statements with aspects that are important components of President Dissanayake’s own policy agenda. One such example is the focus on people-centric digitization.

Milinda Moragoda

Speedy economic integration and connectivity with India while safeguarding our sovereignty and territorial integrity is the only way in which Sri Lanka can become a fast growth economy and come out of the present crisis. Sri Lanka needs to grow at 6% -7% pa to deliver a better life for our people. This understanding between the two leaders is a good beginning.

It is now important that the two sides move to the implementation phase as fast as possible.

The financial resources required to achieve these objectives are available and can be mobilized and harnessed.

The joint-statement indicates that the UAE has expressed interest in investing in the multi-product pipeline. This is an important development towards trilateral cooperation in investment between India, Sri Lanka and third countries.

Trilateral cooperation of this nature could be explored with other countries, including Japan, the US, etc., as well.” (SF)⍐

Trump: Making Canada the 51st state is a ‘great idea’

Trump: Making Canada the 51st state is a ‘great idea’

The U.S. president-elect continues to bait Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau.

《 POLITICO December 18, 2024  By Elena Giordano 》

Donald Trump’s trolling again … or is he?

Early on Wednesday the United States president-elect suggested turning Canada into a part of the U.S., calling it “a great idea.”

“No one can answer why we subsidize Canada to the tune of over $100,000,000 a year? Makes no sense! Many Canadians want Canada to become the 51st State. They would save massively on taxes and military protection. I think it is a great idea. 51st State!!!” he boomed on his social media platform.

It’s not the first time in recent days Trump has needled Canada and Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s government, which was rocked by the bombshell resignation of Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland.

“The Great State of Canada is stunned as the Finance Minister resigns, or was fired, from her position by Governor Justin Trudeau,” Trump wrote Monday. “Her behavior was totally toxic and not at all conducive to making deals which are good for the very unhappy citizens of Canada. She will not be missed!!!!”

The mocking posts land amid tensions between the two countries after Trump threatened to impose 25 percent tariffs on Canadian goods and accused the government of failing to address trade and immigration issues.  

After meeting with Trudeau at his Mar-a-Lago resort in Florida in late November, Trump started calling Trudeau the “Governor” of the “Great State of Canada.”

“It was a pleasure to have dinner the other night with Governor Justin Trudeau of the Great State of Canada,” he wrote. “I look forward to seeing the Governor again soon so that we may continue our in depth talks on Tariffs and Trade, the results of which will be truly spectacular for all! DJT.”

Multiple Drone Incursions Confirmed Over Marine Corps Base Camp Pendleton

Marine Corps Base Camp Pendleton

Multiple Drone Incursions Confirmed Over Marine Corps Base Camp Pendleton

This is the first Marine Corps facility to acknowledge drone incursions during the recent wave of sightings at bases across the country.

Marine Corps Base Camp Pendleton in southern California experienced multiple drone incursions over its airspace the past several days, a facility spokesman told The War Zone on Tuesday morning.

Between Dec. 9 and 15, “there were six instances of unmanned aerial systems (UAS) observed entering Camp Pendleton’s airspace, with no threat to installation operations,” Capt. James C. Sartain, a base spokesman, told The War Zone in response to our query on the matter.

《 Howard Altman News Drones The War Zone 17-12-2024 》

Sartain could not immediately provide details about how many drones flew over the installation, their origin, what actions were taken in response and if any air or ground operations were affected as a result of the incursions. We have asked for these details and will update this story should any be provided. 

Located in north San Diego County, MCB Camp Pendleton is the Marine Corps’ major west coast training facility. It is home to the 1st Marine Expeditionary Force, 1st Marine Division, 1st Marine Logistics Group, elements of the 3rd Marine Aircraft Wing, and several other tenant units including Marine Corps Air Station Camp Pendleton, ACU-5, Naval Hospital, Marine Corps Tactical Systems Support Activity (MCTSSA), Weapons Field Training Battalion, Naval Weapons Station Fallbrook, and Deployment Processing Command/ Reserve Support Unit – West.

A map of the sprawling Camp Pendleton facility located on the SoCal coast. (USMC)

This is just the latest in a growing string of incursions reported over U.S. military installations at home and abroad.

News about MCB Camp Pendleton follows a drone incursion over Wright-Patterson Air Force Base in Ohio forcing the closure of its airspace Friday night into Saturday morning. The War Zone was the first to report that incident. On Tuesday, Wright-Patterson officials announced that there were additional incursions over the facility.

“Small unmanned aerial systems were spotted in the vicinity of and over Wright-Patterson AFB’s Area A and Area B during the late evening and early morning of Dec. 16 and Dec. 17th,” the 88th Air Base Wing said in a statement. “Installation leaders have determined that none of the incursions impacted base residents, facilities or assets. The Wright-Patterson AFB airspace was not affected by the incursions.” 

“The number of systems has fluctuated, and they have ranged in sizes and configurations,” the release added. “Our units continue to monitor the airspace and are working with local law enforcement authorities and mission partners to ensure the safety of base personnel, facilities and assets.  We request individuals in the area to contact either local police or Security Forces if they see anything suspicious, to include sUAS’s or drone activity.” 

The sprawling Wright-Patterson AFB complex. (Google Earth)

This all comes amid a growing frenzy about drones that began when they appeared over Picatinny Arsenal in New Jersey on Nov. 18, which we were the first to report. Since then, the FBI said more than 5,000 reports of drone sightings came into its drone hotline, of which fewer than 100 merited further investigation.

On Monday night, the Pentagon, FBI and Department of Homeland Security issued a statement that they have “not identified anything anomalous and do not assess the activity to date to present a national security or public safety risk over the civilian airspace in New Jersey or other states in the northeast.”

The full statement is below:

“There are more than one million drones lawfully registered with the FAA in the United States and there are thousands of commercial, hobbyist and law enforcement drones lawfully in the sky on any given day. With the technology landscape evolving, we expect that number to increase over time.

FBI has received tips of more than 5,000 reported drone sightings in the last few weeks with approximately 100 leads generated, and the federal government is supporting state and local officials in investigating these reports. Consistent with each of our unique missions and authorities, we are quickly working to prioritize and follow these leads. We have sent advanced detection technology to the region. And we have sent trained visual observers.

Having closely examined the technical data and tips from concerned citizens, we assess that the sightings to date include a combination of lawful commercial drones, hobbyist drones, and law enforcement drones, as well as manned fixed-wing aircraft, helicopters, and stars mistakenly reported as drones. We have not identified anything anomalous and do not assess the activity to date to present a national security or public safety risk over the civilian airspace in New Jersey or other states in the northeast.

That said, we recognize the concern among many communities. We continue to support state and local authorities with advanced detection technology and support of law enforcement. We urge Congress to enact counter-UAS legislation when it reconvenes that would extend and expand existing counter-drone authorities to identify and mitigate any threat that may emerge.

Additionally, there have been a limited number of visual sightings of drones over military facilities in New Jersey and elsewhere, including within restricted air space. Such sightings near or over DoD installations are not new. DoD takes unauthorized access over its airspace seriously and coordinates closely with federal, state, and local law enforcement authorities, as appropriate. Local commanders are actively engaged to ensure there are appropriate detection and mitigation measures in place.”

However, public furor has become so concerning that the FBI and New Jersey State Police last night issued a plea for people to not fire lasers or bullets at anything in the sky. 

“We are seeing an increase of pilots of manned aircraft being hit in the eyes with lasers as people on the ground think they see a drone,” cautioned Nelson Delgado, Acting Special Agent in Charge of the FBI Newark Field Office, which is leading the drone investigation. “We are also concerned that people will take matters into their own hands and fire a weapon at an aircraft. Not only is this act against the law, but it poses an incredible danger to the pilots and passengers on those aircraft.”

“Whatever your beliefs are,” Delgado added, “putting someone else’s life in danger is not the answer.”

The FBI warning came after pilots of 15 fixed and rotary wing aircraft from Joint Base McGuire-Dix-Lakehurst reported being struck by lasers from the ground since Dec. 7, Capt. Kitsana R. Douglomachan told The War Zone. One of those pilots had to seek medical treatment but was quickly released. All aircraft landed safely, he said, adding that officials do not know who fired the lasers. NJ.com was the first to report these incidents.

Monday night, Hill Air Force Base became the latest installation experiencing drone incursions.

“We can confirm that unmanned aerial systems were spotted in the vicinity of Hill AFB recently,” a spokesperson told KUTV–2 news Monday night. “To date, unmanned aerial systems have not impacted Hill AFB operations and all appropriate measures are being taken to safeguard Hill AFB personnel, assets, and infrastructure.”

An amazing elephant walk of F-35s at Hill Air Force Base. USAF

U.S. officials are still trying to discover the origin of drones that appeared over four U.S. Air Force bases in the U.K., another story we first broke. They’ve been spotted over RAF Lakenheath, RAF Mildenhall, and RAF Feltwell, all within close proximity, and RAF Fairford, about 130 miles to the west. A few days earlier, Ramstein Air Base in Germany joined the growing list of places registering unknown drone overflights.

TWZ has been on the leading edge of covering this topic for years and has broken multiple stories now about drone incursions over key U.S. bases and training ranges, as well as uncrewed aerial systems harassing American forces off the coasts of the United States and making worrisome overflights of important non-military sites. A spate of drone incursions over Langley Air Force Base in Virginia in December 2023, which TWZ was the first report on, has now become a particular focal point of concern about these instances.

While authorities are downplaying the majority of public drone sightings, they acknowledge a real concern about those flying over military installations, which as we have noted, forced the closure of airspace over one of those facilities.

Update: 4:37 PM Eastern –

MCB Camp Pendleton responded to our additional questions about the drones spotted over the facility.

“Each instance of observance occurs when and individual, via line of sight, observes a suspected unmanned aerial system (UAS) perceived to be in Camp Pendleton air space. Based on observation for all six instances, deploying countermeasures was not necessary, and air and ground operations were not impacted.”

The Pentagon’s top spokesman on Tuesday acknowledged that some of the drones flying over U.S. military bases could have been up to no good and shed additional light on the counter-drone capabilities being sent to two facilities in New Jersey.

“Is it possible that some of those drones could be up to malign activity? That’s entirely possible, but in the vast majority that is not the case,” Air Force Maj. Gen. Pat Ryder told reporters, including from The War Zone.

“When we detect them, [we] attempt to classify them and take appropriate measures,” he added. “Is it possible that some of those are surveilling? Absolutely. But can you make that assumption in every case? Not necessarily so in each case. 

Installation commanders “have the authority to respond appropriately, and we’ll continue to do that.”

As mentioned earlier in this story, both the Picatinny Arsenal and Naval Weapons Station Earle will be receiving equipment to help them track and, if necessary, defeat drones. During his presser, Ryder offered new details of those capabilities.

“In addition to some of the capabilities that are already on these installations, these capabilities essentially will enhance a base authority’s ability to detect, identify and track UASs,” Ryder explained. “So for example, this could include active or passive detection capabilities, plus capabilities like the system known as Dronebuster, which employs non-kinetic means to interrupt drone signals and affect their ability to operate.”

In a follow-up exchange with The War Zone, Ryder confirmed that Picatinny will be receiving the Dronebuster equipment. It’s a man-portable, radio-frequency jamming system with a pistol grip made by a company called Flex Force.

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The Pentagon “doesn’t see a connection between the drone sightings over military bases in the U.S. and overseas, Ryder said. When we pushed him to tell us the visual and sensor similarities between these sightings, he declined to answer.

Ryder reiterated a point made yesterday that the drones being reported are not connected to the military. They are not associated with the National Aerospace Research and Technology Park (NARTP) in southern New Jersey that develops and tests drones, he added.⍐

How Trump’s tariff threat pushed Canada’s Trudeau to brink of resignation

Canada’s embattled prime minister faces fresh calls to resign after top minister steps down over possible ‘tariff war’. 

《LONG READ News Donald Trump By Jillian Kestler-D'Amours 17 Dec 2024 Al Jazeera》

Montreal, Canada – For weeks, Justin Trudeau has tried to reassure Canadians that his government has everything under control.

US President-elect Donald Trump’s threat late last month to slap 25-percent tariffs on his country’s northern neighbour has dominated the headlines, with Canadian business leaders and politicians hammering the prime minister about how he plans to respond.

This week, the simmering crisis took an unexpected — and escalatory — turn when Canada’s finance minister, Chrystia Freeland, announced she was stepping down from her post because she and Trudeau were “at odds about the best path forward”.

“The incoming administration in the United States is pursuing a policy of aggressive economic nationalism, including a threat of 25 per cent tariffs. We need to take that threat extremely seriously,” Freeland wrote in her resignation letter on Monday.

“That means keeping our fiscal powder dry today, so we have the reserves we may need for a coming tariff war. That means eschewing costly political gimmicks, which we can ill afford and which make Canadians doubt that we recognize the gravity of the moment.”

Freeland’s surprise resignation — and the letter criticising her longtime political ally — have sent shockwaves across Canada.

They have also sparked renewed calls for Trudeau, already weakened by months of internal divisions and plummeting public support, to step down as leader of his Liberal Party in advance of elections next year.

“Everything is spiralling out of control,” Conservative Party leader Pierre Poilievre told reporters on Monday in the Canadian capital, Ottawa.

“We cannot accept this kind of chaos, division [and] weakness while we’re staring down the barrel of a 25-percent tariff by our biggest trading partner and closest ally,” said Poilievre, adding that Trump is “a man who can spot weakness from a mile away”.

“There’s an overwhelming appetite right now for change,” Laura Stephenson, a professor of political science at Western University in Ontario, told Al Jazeera in an interview before Freeland’s resignation and the new calls for Trudeau to step down.

“And the faith that Canadians have that change is going to come from the government that’s been in power for so long is very low.”

Trudeau has served as prime minister since 2015, when he and his centrist Liberal Party won a majority government. That election brought an end to nearly a decade of Conservative rule under former Prime Minister Stephen Harper.

‘Appetite for change’

Even before Freeland’s shock announcement, or Trump’s tariff threat, Canada was at a fraught moment, politically.

The country has been gearing up for a federal election next year that is widely expected to end a decade of Trudeau-led Liberal Party governments and usher in Poilievre, a hyper-partisan, right-wing populist, as the next Canadian prime minister.

It is also grappling with a housing crisis, rising costs and increasingly divisive political rhetoric.

The Liberals also lost the backing of the left-leaning New Democratic Party (NDP) in September, when NDP leader Jagmeet Singh announced his party was withdrawing from a 2022 agreement to prop up Trudeau’s minority government.

While the NDP has continued to vote alongside the Liberals so far, the government is more vulnerable if a no-confidence vote is triggered in the House of Commons. The result of that vote could force Trudeau to call an early election.

“They’re fighting themselves instead of fighting for Canadians,” Singh said of the Liberals on Monday. “For that reason, today, I’m calling on Justin Trudeau to resign. He has to go.”

Most recent polls have also shown Trudeau facing a difficult — if not insurmountable — challenge in trying to win back public support in advance of the looming election, which must be held before late October 2025.

A Leger survey from November found that 42 percent of Canadians said they planned to vote for the Conservatives in the next election, compared with 26 percent who backed the Liberals and 15 percent who picked the NDP.

Nearly seven in 10 Canadians also said they were dissatisfied with Trudeau’s government, the same survey found.

With Trudeau’s tenure now nearing the 10-year mark, Canadians have grown weary of his government — and like many electorates around the world, there is “incumbent fatigue” in Canada.

But more than that, Trudeau has personally become a target of growing anger in recent years around key issues, from his government’s handling of the COVID-19 pandemic to the cost of groceries and the housing crisis.

“We’re in a very different place I think than we were when Trump was first elected” in 2016, said Barbara Perry, director of the Centre on Hate, Bias and Extremism at Ontario Tech University, noting that right-wing talking points have gained ground across Canada in recent years.

She also pointed to a recent Abacus Data poll that showed Canadians viewed Trump more favourably than Trudeau — 26 percent to 23 percent — as evidence of a general shift.

“For [Trump] to be that popular is really disturbing and, I think, does suggest that there is room for right-wing forces to emerge in the Canadian context,” Perry told Al Jazeera.

“We saw little glimmers of right-wing political narratives [in 2016], but I think we’re seeing more than glimmers now,” she continued.

“It really does bode well for the far right [and] bode ill for those who would prefer to see much more progressive and inclusive policies and discourses.”

US-Canada ties

Against that backdrop, Trump’s tariff threat has loomed large — as have questions about how the Trudeau government plans to deal with the incoming US administration.

In a Truth Social post on November 25, the president-elect said he would impose the 25-percent tariff on Canada and Mexico until both countries stop the flow of drugs and migration through their borders.

“Both Mexico and Canada have the absolute right and power to easily solve this long simmering problem. We hereby demand that they use this power, and until such time that they do, it is time for them to pay a very big price!” Trump wrote.

Trudeau — who was prime minister during Trump’s first term, from 2017 to 2021 — responded to the threat by promoting a united, non-partisan “Team Canada” approach to the incoming US administration and stressing the importance of strong US-Canada ties.

The two countries share the longest international border in the world, stretching 8,891km (5,525 miles), and they exchanged nearly $2.7bn ($3.6bn Canadian) in goods and services daily in 2023, according to Canadian government figures.

The Canadian government promised to enact stricter border measures, and the prime minister also made a surprise visit to Trump’s Mar-a-Lago estate in Florida in late November to discuss the way forward.

“Thanks for dinner last night, President Trump. I look forward to the work we can do together, again,” Trudeau wrote on X after the talks, in a nod to his familiarity with the US leader.

During Trump’s first term, the Trudeau government’s view was that it could protect Canadian interests by negotiating “from a position of allyship, not from a position of enmity”, said Christine de Clercy, a political science professor at Trent University in Ontario.

Despite the changed political landscapes in both countries, Trudeau has appeared to be continuing with that approach, de Clercy told Al Jazeera in an interview before this week’s developments in Ottawa.

“And this time around, he’s not the rather inexperienced prime minister that he was in 2017 when Mr Trump was first sworn in,” de Clercy said.

“That has value because Canadians quite correctly are rather worried about the future of the Canada-American relationship for the next four years.”

Right-wing alignment

Still, the Trump administration of 2025 is expected to be different from its first iteration.

Trump has largely eschewed centrist Republicans for a crew of die-hard, MAGA believers, and he is coming into the White House with a clear plan on the economy, immigration and foreign policy.

At the same time, Trudeau has been the target of heated criticism from Trump supporters, right-wing US media outlets and even some of the figures who will play key roles in the president-elect’s new administration.

On December 11, for instance, Trump adviser and billionaire Elon Musk used his social media platform X to call Trudeau “an insufferable tool”. He added that the Liberal Party leader “won’t be in power for much longer”.

That kind of sentiment is typical for many in Trump’s orbit who view Canada under Trudeau as a “communist land with mandatory COVID vaccinations and government lockdowns”, said Asa McKercher, a professor who studies Canada-US relations at St Francis Xavier University.

“Canada is a part of the American culture war stuff, and Mr Trudeau is really a figure of hatred for a lot of people in the [Make America Great Again] world,” McKercher told Al Jazeera.

“A lot of the charm offensive that Canada was able to do with people in the White House [during the last Trump administration] is not going to fly this time.”

Meanwhile, like Trump, Poilievre — who was first elected to the House of Commons two decades ago, in 2004 — is hyper-partisan and prone to ad hominem attacks.

He regularly lambasts journalists, the “woke” left and other perceived opponents. He also makes sweeping statements about defending “freedom” and blames Trudeau personally for Canada’s ills.

“There are a lot of commonalities between them,” McKercher said of Trump and Poilievre.

“Mr Poilievre portrays himself as this macho, alpha kind of guy — very much fitting the manly, macho attitude of the Trump administration and the MAGA movement.”

Trump as line of attack

Trump’s return to the White House — and his tariffs plan in particular — have also given Poilievre and the Conservatives an opportunity to attack Trudeau as weak in the face of the Republican leader.

When asked how he would deal with possible US tariffs, Poilievre said on November 15 that he would “fight fire with fire”.

“Trump wants what’s best for American workers. I want what’s best for Canadian workers. And we’re not going to be suckers any more,” the Conservative leader said in a radio interview. “Trump would love nothing more than to keep Trudeau in power because he can walk all over him.”

Conservative politicians at the provincial level have also been hitting out against Trudeau, using Trump as a line of attack.

Some have called Trump’s concerns about irregular migration at the US-Canada border “valid” and urged the prime minister to do more.

Right-wing Ontario Premier Doug Ford, for example, said the federal government must take a more proactive approach to the border, calling Ottawa “slow to react” and “stuck on its backfoot”.

Amid that rhetoric, recent polls show that many Canadians now believe Poilievre is better equipped than Trudeau to deal with Trump.

An Abacus Data poll last month found 45 percent of Canadians said Poilievre had a better chance of getting positive results for Canada during a second Trump presidency. Only 20 percent said Trudeau was better positioned.

Another more recent poll (PDF) had the two leaders effectively tied on the question of who was better suited to manage Trump, with 36 percent choosing Poilievre compared with 34 percent who picked Trudeau.

The CBC News Poll Tracker, which aggregates federal election polling data across Canada, also had the Conservatives with a 21-percentage-point lead over the Liberals on Monday.

“The numbers are just stacked against either the Liberals or the NDP and in favour of the Conservatives,” said Perry.

“The negative messaging coming from the Conservatives — about everything being broken and the federal government’s responsible — that has become so firmly embedded in our psyches.”

‘End to the Trudeau era’?

So far, Trudeau has yet to comment publicly on Freeland’s resignation, including whether it will affect his plans to lead the Liberal Party through the next election.

The prime minister held a meeting with his cabinet on Monday evening in Ottawa, where several Liberal MPs urged him to step down, according to a report by CBC News. Sources told the public broadcaster that Trudeau has yet to make a decision.

While it remains unclear what happens next, Trudeau is on arguably shakier political ground than ever before and many experts are questioning how long he can stay on as leader after losing one of his top political allies in Freeland.

“This episode cannot help but shake those most loyal to Trudeau. Not sure he survives the end of 2024,” Stewart Prest, a political science professor at the University of British Columbia, wrote on social media on Monday.

“By the end of 2025, we’ll be reflecting that a single post from Trump put in motion the events that will have finally brought an end to the Trudeau era.”⍐

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Note-Illustration-The Week